Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes

Permafrost regions are experiencing rapid changes that affect carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles, with implications for vegetation dynamics and gas exchanges with the atmosphere. Soil C:N ratio is a key indicator of organic matter quality, yet spatial estimates of N stocks and C:N ratios lag behind...

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Main Authors: Joshua O. Minai, Julie D. Jastrow, Roser Matamala, Chien-Lu Ping, Gary J. Michaelson, Nicolas A. Jelinski
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:Geoderma
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016706125002563
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author Joshua O. Minai
Julie D. Jastrow
Roser Matamala
Chien-Lu Ping
Gary J. Michaelson
Nicolas A. Jelinski
author_facet Joshua O. Minai
Julie D. Jastrow
Roser Matamala
Chien-Lu Ping
Gary J. Michaelson
Nicolas A. Jelinski
author_sort Joshua O. Minai
collection DOAJ
description Permafrost regions are experiencing rapid changes that affect carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles, with implications for vegetation dynamics and gas exchanges with the atmosphere. Soil C:N ratio is a key indicator of organic matter quality, yet spatial estimates of N stocks and C:N ratios lag behind those for C. We used quantile regression forests to compare direct and indirect digital soil mapping approaches for predicting soil C:N ratios at 0–30, 30–60, and 60–100 cm depths across a latitudinal transect in Alaska. The indirect approach – deriving C:N from separately predicted C and N stocks – outperformed direct mapping for the surface layer (0–30 cm), while direct mapping was marginally better at greater depths. However, prediction accuracy decreased with depth for both methods. Temperature and topography were the most important predictors. Both approaches overestimated low and underestimated high C:N ratios, with direct mapping showing greater bias. Our results underscore the challenges of modeling C:N ratios in heterogeneous, data-sparse permafrost soils, but also suggest that indirect mapping holds promise if supported by more extensive datasets.
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issn 1872-6259
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publisher Elsevier
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spelling doaj-art-d15ff4e6d8a347df99a589a63785f8bb2025-08-20T04:00:34ZengElsevierGeoderma1872-62592025-08-0146011741810.1016/j.geoderma.2025.117418Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapesJoshua O. Minai0Julie D. Jastrow1Roser Matamala2Chien-Lu Ping3Gary J. Michaelson4Nicolas A. Jelinski5Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, United States; Corresponding author.Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, United StatesArgonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, United StatesUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Palmer, AK, United StatesUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks, Palmer, AK, United StatesUniversity of Minnesota Twin Cities, St. Paul, MN, United StatesPermafrost regions are experiencing rapid changes that affect carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles, with implications for vegetation dynamics and gas exchanges with the atmosphere. Soil C:N ratio is a key indicator of organic matter quality, yet spatial estimates of N stocks and C:N ratios lag behind those for C. We used quantile regression forests to compare direct and indirect digital soil mapping approaches for predicting soil C:N ratios at 0–30, 30–60, and 60–100 cm depths across a latitudinal transect in Alaska. The indirect approach – deriving C:N from separately predicted C and N stocks – outperformed direct mapping for the surface layer (0–30 cm), while direct mapping was marginally better at greater depths. However, prediction accuracy decreased with depth for both methods. Temperature and topography were the most important predictors. Both approaches overestimated low and underestimated high C:N ratios, with direct mapping showing greater bias. Our results underscore the challenges of modeling C:N ratios in heterogeneous, data-sparse permafrost soils, but also suggest that indirect mapping holds promise if supported by more extensive datasets.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016706125002563Permafrost SoilsC:N ratioDigital Soil MappingQuantile Regression Forests
spellingShingle Joshua O. Minai
Julie D. Jastrow
Roser Matamala
Chien-Lu Ping
Gary J. Michaelson
Nicolas A. Jelinski
Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
Geoderma
Permafrost Soils
C:N ratio
Digital Soil Mapping
Quantile Regression Forests
title Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
title_full Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
title_fullStr Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
title_short Quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil C:N relationships in permafrost-affected landscapes
title_sort quantifying spatial and vertical variations in soil c n relationships in permafrost affected landscapes
topic Permafrost Soils
C:N ratio
Digital Soil Mapping
Quantile Regression Forests
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016706125002563
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