Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta

Study on the wetness-dryness encountering of the main tributaries of the Pearl River (i.e.,the West River (WR),North River (NR) and East River (ER)) under the changing environment,is conducive to the allocation and regulation of water resources in the Pearl River Delta(PRD) during the dry season to...

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Main Authors: ZHANG Zhaoyi, HE Yanhu, LIN Zhuliang, CHEN Xiaohong
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2021-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.12.004
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author ZHANG Zhaoyi
HE Yanhu
LIN Zhuliang
CHEN Xiaohong
author_facet ZHANG Zhaoyi
HE Yanhu
LIN Zhuliang
CHEN Xiaohong
author_sort ZHANG Zhaoyi
collection DOAJ
description Study on the wetness-dryness encountering of the main tributaries of the Pearl River (i.e.,the West River (WR),North River (NR) and East River (ER)) under the changing environment,is conducive to the allocation and regulation of water resources in the Pearl River Delta(PRD) during the dry season to ensure the water supply security of the PRD city cluster.Based on the monthly average inflow of the WR,NR and ER,the Copula functions were used to construct the two-dimensional and three-dimensional joint distribution of the inflow of the three rivers at the annual,flood and dry period scales,and the laws of the wetness-dryness encountering of the three rivers were explored.The results show that the Frank Copula function can fit the two-dimensional and three-dimensional joint distribution of the upstream inflow better.The probability of synchronized wetness-dryness two-dimensional combinations of WR,NR and ER are higher when compared to that of the three-dimensional combination of wetness-dryness.The 3-dimensional wetness-dryness encounter combinations of “extreme dryness-extreme dryness-more dryness” and “extreme dryness-more dryness-more dryness” are more likely to happen in dry years.The upstream inflow under the 3-dimensional wetness-dryness encounter combinations of “extreme dryness-extreme dryness-more dryness” and “extreme dryness-more dryness-more dryness” are less during the dry season,which would pose greater challenge for the cities water supply in the PRD.
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publishDate 2021-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-d1282a9ec9354fdbac6c89d0a4ed37e42025-01-15T02:27:40ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352021-01-014247645491Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River DeltaZHANG ZhaoyiHE YanhuLIN ZhuliangCHEN XiaohongStudy on the wetness-dryness encountering of the main tributaries of the Pearl River (i.e.,the West River (WR),North River (NR) and East River (ER)) under the changing environment,is conducive to the allocation and regulation of water resources in the Pearl River Delta(PRD) during the dry season to ensure the water supply security of the PRD city cluster.Based on the monthly average inflow of the WR,NR and ER,the Copula functions were used to construct the two-dimensional and three-dimensional joint distribution of the inflow of the three rivers at the annual,flood and dry period scales,and the laws of the wetness-dryness encountering of the three rivers were explored.The results show that the Frank Copula function can fit the two-dimensional and three-dimensional joint distribution of the upstream inflow better.The probability of synchronized wetness-dryness two-dimensional combinations of WR,NR and ER are higher when compared to that of the three-dimensional combination of wetness-dryness.The 3-dimensional wetness-dryness encounter combinations of “extreme dryness-extreme dryness-more dryness” and “extreme dryness-more dryness-more dryness” are more likely to happen in dry years.The upstream inflow under the 3-dimensional wetness-dryness encounter combinations of “extreme dryness-extreme dryness-more dryness” and “extreme dryness-more dryness-more dryness” are less during the dry season,which would pose greater challenge for the cities water supply in the PRD.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.12.004wetness-dryness encounteringCopula functionsPearl River Delta
spellingShingle ZHANG Zhaoyi
HE Yanhu
LIN Zhuliang
CHEN Xiaohong
Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
Renmin Zhujiang
wetness-dryness encountering
Copula functions
Pearl River Delta
title Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
title_full Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
title_fullStr Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
title_full_unstemmed Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
title_short Copula-based Wetness-Dryness Encountering Analysis of Upstream Runoff in the Pearl River Delta
title_sort copula based wetness dryness encountering analysis of upstream runoff in the pearl river delta
topic wetness-dryness encountering
Copula functions
Pearl River Delta
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.12.004
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangzhaoyi copulabasedwetnessdrynessencounteringanalysisofupstreamrunoffinthepearlriverdelta
AT heyanhu copulabasedwetnessdrynessencounteringanalysisofupstreamrunoffinthepearlriverdelta
AT linzhuliang copulabasedwetnessdrynessencounteringanalysisofupstreamrunoffinthepearlriverdelta
AT chenxiaohong copulabasedwetnessdrynessencounteringanalysisofupstreamrunoffinthepearlriverdelta