Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia

Aim. To identify spatiotemporal features of rabies spread in island forest-steppe areas of East Siberia, a geographic region where this infection was not previously recorded among foxes.Materials and Methods. We analyzed 871 cases of rabies in animals registered during 20022018 in Republic of Khakas...

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Main Authors: I. D. Zarva, A. D. Botvinkin, D. V. Goryaev, P. M. Demchin, G. M. Dmitrieva, T. A. Zaykova, G. V. Lutsenko, T. G. Romanova, M. V. Rusin, O. V. Sorokina, Y. E. Suturina, E Yu. Shalginova, L. V. Shmatova
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Kemerovo State Medical University 2019-06-01
Series:Фундаментальная и клиническая медицина
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Online Access:https://fcm.kemsmu.ru/jour/article/view/141
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author I. D. Zarva
A. D. Botvinkin
D. V. Goryaev
P. M. Demchin
G. M. Dmitrieva
T. A. Zaykova
G. V. Lutsenko
T. G. Romanova
M. V. Rusin
O. V. Sorokina
Y. E. Suturina
E Yu. Shalginova
L. V. Shmatova
author_facet I. D. Zarva
A. D. Botvinkin
D. V. Goryaev
P. M. Demchin
G. M. Dmitrieva
T. A. Zaykova
G. V. Lutsenko
T. G. Romanova
M. V. Rusin
O. V. Sorokina
Y. E. Suturina
E Yu. Shalginova
L. V. Shmatova
author_sort I. D. Zarva
collection DOAJ
description Aim. To identify spatiotemporal features of rabies spread in island forest-steppe areas of East Siberia, a geographic region where this infection was not previously recorded among foxes.Materials and Methods. We analyzed 871 cases of rabies in animals registered during 20022018 in Republic of Khakassia and Krasnoyarsk Region. Mapping was carried out using geographic information system technologies (QGIS 3.6.3 program). The cartograms were prepared annually.Results. About 50% of rabies cases were registered among foxes (Vulpes vulpes), and the cases were mainly confined to the steppe and forest-steppe landscapes. The spread of rabies beyond the forest-steppe hollows occurred along the valleys of large rivers with an average speed of 142.9 kmper year (б = 63.7).Conclusion. After the introduction of the virus in 2002, rabies spread over 3 years to all the steppe and forest-steppe hollows of the Yenisey Siberia. Subsequently, a natural focus with pulsating boundaries was formed. The core of the outbreak is located in the Minusinsk and Chulym-Yenisei hollows. The results of the mapping can be used to combat rabies, for instance, in performing oral vaccination of foxes.
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series Фундаментальная и клиническая медицина
spelling doaj-art-d0f38eca35ac46ed835bbf84e76096452025-08-20T03:42:38ZrusKemerovo State Medical UniversityФундаментальная и клиническая медицина2500-07642542-09412019-06-0142485710.23946/2500-0764-2019-4-2-48-57140Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East SiberiaI. D. Zarva0A. D. Botvinkin1D. V. Goryaev2P. M. Demchin3G. M. Dmitrieva4T. A. Zaykova5G. V. Lutsenko6T. G. Romanova7M. V. Rusin8O. V. Sorokina9Y. E. Suturina10E Yu. Shalginova11L. V. Shmatova12Irkutsk State Medical UniversityIrkutsk State Medical UniversityFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in KrasnoyarskRegionKrasnoyarsk Regional Veterinary LaboratoryFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in KrasnoyarskRegionRepublic ofKhakassia Veterinary LaboratoryRepublic ofKhakassia Veterinary LaboratoryFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Republic ofKhakassiaFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in KrasnoyarskRegionKrasnoyarsk Regional Center for Hygiene and EpidemiologyFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in KrasnoyarskRegionFederal Service on Surveillance for Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare in Republic ofKhakassiaKrasnoyarsk Regional Veterinary LaboratoryAim. To identify spatiotemporal features of rabies spread in island forest-steppe areas of East Siberia, a geographic region where this infection was not previously recorded among foxes.Materials and Methods. We analyzed 871 cases of rabies in animals registered during 20022018 in Republic of Khakassia and Krasnoyarsk Region. Mapping was carried out using geographic information system technologies (QGIS 3.6.3 program). The cartograms were prepared annually.Results. About 50% of rabies cases were registered among foxes (Vulpes vulpes), and the cases were mainly confined to the steppe and forest-steppe landscapes. The spread of rabies beyond the forest-steppe hollows occurred along the valleys of large rivers with an average speed of 142.9 kmper year (б = 63.7).Conclusion. After the introduction of the virus in 2002, rabies spread over 3 years to all the steppe and forest-steppe hollows of the Yenisey Siberia. Subsequently, a natural focus with pulsating boundaries was formed. The core of the outbreak is located in the Minusinsk and Chulym-Yenisei hollows. The results of the mapping can be used to combat rabies, for instance, in performing oral vaccination of foxes.https://fcm.kemsmu.ru/jour/article/view/141fox rabiesnatural focusspatio-temporal dynamicsrate of outbreak spread
spellingShingle I. D. Zarva
A. D. Botvinkin
D. V. Goryaev
P. M. Demchin
G. M. Dmitrieva
T. A. Zaykova
G. V. Lutsenko
T. G. Romanova
M. V. Rusin
O. V. Sorokina
Y. E. Suturina
E Yu. Shalginova
L. V. Shmatova
Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
Фундаментальная и клиническая медицина
fox rabies
natural focus
spatio-temporal dynamics
rate of outbreak spread
title Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
title_full Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
title_fullStr Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
title_full_unstemmed Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
title_short Geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest-steppe of East Siberia
title_sort geographic information system analysis of rabies spread in island forest steppe of east siberia
topic fox rabies
natural focus
spatio-temporal dynamics
rate of outbreak spread
url https://fcm.kemsmu.ru/jour/article/view/141
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