Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye

When the data of several countries are analysed, it is generally observed that the share of public sector in the economy has increased over time. In the literature, one aspect of the issue is addressed with the reasons for this increase, whereas explaining the effect of public expenditures on growth...

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Main Author: Sibel Toptaş
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Public Finance Conference/Turkey 2024-06-01
Series:International Journal of Public Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3274741
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author Sibel Toptaş
author_facet Sibel Toptaş
author_sort Sibel Toptaş
collection DOAJ
description When the data of several countries are analysed, it is generally observed that the share of public sector in the economy has increased over time. In the literature, one aspect of the issue is addressed with the reasons for this increase, whereas explaining the effect of public expenditures on growth is addressed from another perspective. The existence of a non-linear relationship between public expenditure and growth raises the question of the rate at which the relationship changes the direction. This is because the growth rate will increase with the expenditures made until this rate is reached, while the growth rate will decrease if this rate is exceeded. Within the scope of this study, the validity of the Armey curve, which argues that there is a non-linear relationship between public expenditure and growth, has been tested with the data between 1991 and 2021 and the optimal public expenditure ratio has been investigated. As a result, it was found that the Armey curve is valid and the rate of public expenditure that maximises growth is approximately 12%. Therefore, it can be said that reducing public expenditures which are above the optimal ratio during the period will have a positive effect on the growth rate.
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publisher International Public Finance Conference/Turkey
record_format Article
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spelling doaj-art-d0b8d04f5b3e4ba293fc7a18245ae2142025-02-03T18:49:43ZengInternational Public Finance Conference/TurkeyInternational Journal of Public Finance2548-04992024-06-019117519410.30927/ijpf.1329893Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for TürkiyeSibel Toptaş0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9337-2895Hacettepe UniversityWhen the data of several countries are analysed, it is generally observed that the share of public sector in the economy has increased over time. In the literature, one aspect of the issue is addressed with the reasons for this increase, whereas explaining the effect of public expenditures on growth is addressed from another perspective. The existence of a non-linear relationship between public expenditure and growth raises the question of the rate at which the relationship changes the direction. This is because the growth rate will increase with the expenditures made until this rate is reached, while the growth rate will decrease if this rate is exceeded. Within the scope of this study, the validity of the Armey curve, which argues that there is a non-linear relationship between public expenditure and growth, has been tested with the data between 1991 and 2021 and the optimal public expenditure ratio has been investigated. As a result, it was found that the Armey curve is valid and the rate of public expenditure that maximises growth is approximately 12%. Therefore, it can be said that reducing public expenditures which are above the optimal ratio during the period will have a positive effect on the growth rate. https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3274741public expendituregrowth ratearmey curve
spellingShingle Sibel Toptaş
Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
International Journal of Public Finance
public expenditure
growth rate
armey curve
title Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
title_full Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
title_fullStr Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
title_short Optimal Public Expenditure Ratio: An Application for Türkiye
title_sort optimal public expenditure ratio an application for turkiye
topic public expenditure
growth rate
armey curve
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/3274741
work_keys_str_mv AT sibeltoptas optimalpublicexpenditureratioanapplicationforturkiye