Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan

The main cause of the global threat to large carnivore populations living in high-altitude areas is human pressure. The Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus, hereafter bear) is listed as a critically endangered species, and it dominates the higher altitudes of the North and Western Himalay...

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Main Authors: Tosif Fida, Alireza Mohammadi, Kamran Almasieh, Luciano Bosso, Shams Ud Din, Urwah Shamas, Muhammad Ali Nawaz, Muhammad Kabir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2024.1477480/full
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author Tosif Fida
Alireza Mohammadi
Kamran Almasieh
Luciano Bosso
Shams Ud Din
Urwah Shamas
Muhammad Ali Nawaz
Muhammad Kabir
author_facet Tosif Fida
Alireza Mohammadi
Kamran Almasieh
Luciano Bosso
Shams Ud Din
Urwah Shamas
Muhammad Ali Nawaz
Muhammad Kabir
author_sort Tosif Fida
collection DOAJ
description The main cause of the global threat to large carnivore populations living in high-altitude areas is human pressure. The Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus, hereafter bear) is listed as a critically endangered species, and it dominates the higher altitudes of the North and Western Himalayan landscapes. Here, we used species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity to find bears’ suitable habitats and corridors in the Deosai National Park (DNP) and surrounding areas. Species distribution models detected a bear’s suitable habitat of 1,125 km2, of which ca. 73% was covered by DNP. The most crucial predictors in determining the bears’ distribution were elevation—particularly if it was between 3,500 and 4,500 meters above sea level—as well as the bears’ distance from rivers, cattle, and the DNP borders. We discovered robust connectivity among presence points in the core of the study area, particularly within the DNP boundaries, by using the electrical circuit theory models. Landscape connectivity values were indeed low in some areas outside and close to the DNP confines. Based on our findings, it is imperative to protect habitats and corridors that allow the bears to migrate between the suitable patches, particularly beyond the park’s boundaries, to improve bear conservation.
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spelling doaj-art-d05786f7f8204cb098d54a5e38c012f22025-01-13T06:11:33ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution2296-701X2025-01-011210.3389/fevo.2024.14774801477480Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, PakistanTosif Fida0Alireza Mohammadi1Kamran Almasieh2Luciano Bosso3Shams Ud Din4Urwah Shamas5Muhammad Ali Nawaz6Muhammad Kabir7Wildlife Ecology Lab, Department of Forestry and Wildlife Management, The University of Haripur, Haripur, PakistanDepartment of Environment Science and Engineering, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Jiroft, Jiroft, IranDepartment of Nature Engineering, Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University of Khuzestan, Mollasani, IranInstitute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy, Naples, ItalyWildlife Ecology Lab, Department of Forestry and Wildlife Management, The University of Haripur, Haripur, PakistanDepartment of Biology, Federal Directorate of Education, Korang, Islamabad, PakistanDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, QatarWildlife Ecology Lab, Department of Forestry and Wildlife Management, The University of Haripur, Haripur, PakistanThe main cause of the global threat to large carnivore populations living in high-altitude areas is human pressure. The Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus, hereafter bear) is listed as a critically endangered species, and it dominates the higher altitudes of the North and Western Himalayan landscapes. Here, we used species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity to find bears’ suitable habitats and corridors in the Deosai National Park (DNP) and surrounding areas. Species distribution models detected a bear’s suitable habitat of 1,125 km2, of which ca. 73% was covered by DNP. The most crucial predictors in determining the bears’ distribution were elevation—particularly if it was between 3,500 and 4,500 meters above sea level—as well as the bears’ distance from rivers, cattle, and the DNP borders. We discovered robust connectivity among presence points in the core of the study area, particularly within the DNP boundaries, by using the electrical circuit theory models. Landscape connectivity values were indeed low in some areas outside and close to the DNP confines. Based on our findings, it is imperative to protect habitats and corridors that allow the bears to migrate between the suitable patches, particularly beyond the park’s boundaries, to improve bear conservation.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2024.1477480/fullconservationHimalayan brown bearlandscape connectivityspecies distribution modelswildlife management
spellingShingle Tosif Fida
Alireza Mohammadi
Kamran Almasieh
Luciano Bosso
Shams Ud Din
Urwah Shamas
Muhammad Ali Nawaz
Muhammad Kabir
Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
conservation
Himalayan brown bear
landscape connectivity
species distribution models
wildlife management
title Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
title_full Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
title_fullStr Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
title_short Species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered Himalayan brown bear (Ursus arctos isabellinus) in the Deosai National Park, Pakistan
title_sort species distribution modelling and landscape connectivity as tools to inform management and conservation for the critically endangered himalayan brown bear ursus arctos isabellinus in the deosai national park pakistan
topic conservation
Himalayan brown bear
landscape connectivity
species distribution models
wildlife management
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2024.1477480/full
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