Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks

In flood forecasting,empirical prediction methods report low accuracy,and traditional hydrological models face the problems of large workloads and difficult promotion when they are applied to small reservoirs.Hence,an artificial neural network (ANN) method is introduced,which is equipped with powerf...

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Main Authors: PENG Wei, XIONG Jiayi, JIANG Xianqun, GAO Yueming
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2023-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47641053&Fpath=home&index=0
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author PENG Wei
XIONG Jiayi
JIANG Xianqun
GAO Yueming
author_facet PENG Wei
XIONG Jiayi
JIANG Xianqun
GAO Yueming
author_sort PENG Wei
collection DOAJ
description In flood forecasting,empirical prediction methods report low accuracy,and traditional hydrological models face the problems of large workloads and difficult promotion when they are applied to small reservoirs.Hence,an artificial neural network (ANN) method is introduced,which is equipped with powerful feature-learning capability.It is combined with the genetic algorithm (GA) to find the optimal parameters for flood forecasting of small reservoirs as GA can realize automatic optimization of the time step and hidden-layer neuron nodes in ANN.In this way,parameter search can be targeted,and personalized flood forecasting models can be constructed for each small reservoir.In addition,the flood forecasting models based on the back propagation (BP),long short-term memory (LSTM),and gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural networks are built,and comparisons between simulations and measured data are conducted for the flood process.The results show that the LSTM model has high prediction accuracy and good stability and can learn and simulate the water-level change pattern of the actual flood process,demonstrating better prediction performance than BP and GRU models.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-ce7eac3939da4f8ab98bde27fbf3114d2025-01-15T02:23:04ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352023-01-014447641053Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural NetworksPENG WeiXIONG JiayiJIANG XianqunGAO YuemingIn flood forecasting,empirical prediction methods report low accuracy,and traditional hydrological models face the problems of large workloads and difficult promotion when they are applied to small reservoirs.Hence,an artificial neural network (ANN) method is introduced,which is equipped with powerful feature-learning capability.It is combined with the genetic algorithm (GA) to find the optimal parameters for flood forecasting of small reservoirs as GA can realize automatic optimization of the time step and hidden-layer neuron nodes in ANN.In this way,parameter search can be targeted,and personalized flood forecasting models can be constructed for each small reservoir.In addition,the flood forecasting models based on the back propagation (BP),long short-term memory (LSTM),and gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural networks are built,and comparisons between simulations and measured data are conducted for the flood process.The results show that the LSTM model has high prediction accuracy and good stability and can learn and simulate the water-level change pattern of the actual flood process,demonstrating better prediction performance than BP and GRU models.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47641053&Fpath=home&index=0neural networkflood forecastinggenetic algorithmsmall reservoir
spellingShingle PENG Wei
XIONG Jiayi
JIANG Xianqun
GAO Yueming
Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
Renmin Zhujiang
neural network
flood forecasting
genetic algorithm
small reservoir
title Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
title_full Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
title_fullStr Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
title_short Flood Forecasting for Small Reservoirs Based on Neural Networks
title_sort flood forecasting for small reservoirs based on neural networks
topic neural network
flood forecasting
genetic algorithm
small reservoir
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails?columnId=47641053&Fpath=home&index=0
work_keys_str_mv AT pengwei floodforecastingforsmallreservoirsbasedonneuralnetworks
AT xiongjiayi floodforecastingforsmallreservoirsbasedonneuralnetworks
AT jiangxianqun floodforecastingforsmallreservoirsbasedonneuralnetworks
AT gaoyueming floodforecastingforsmallreservoirsbasedonneuralnetworks