Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations
We apply SE-optimal design methodology to investigate optimal data collection procedures as a first step in investigating information content in ecoinformatics data sets. To illustrate ideas we use a simple phenomenological citrus red mite population model for pest dynamics. First the optimal sampli...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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AIMS Press
2018-07-01
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| Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2018044 |
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| author | H. T. Banks R. A. Everett Neha Murad R. D. White J. E. Banks Bodil N. Cass Jay A. Rosenheim |
| author_facet | H. T. Banks R. A. Everett Neha Murad R. D. White J. E. Banks Bodil N. Cass Jay A. Rosenheim |
| author_sort | H. T. Banks |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We apply SE-optimal design methodology to investigate optimal data collection procedures as a first step in investigating information content in ecoinformatics data sets. To illustrate ideas we use a simple phenomenological citrus red mite population model for pest dynamics. First the optimal sampling distributions for a varying number of data points are determined. We then analyze these optimal distributions by comparing the standard errors of parameter estimates corresponding to each distribution. This allows us to investigate how many data are required to have confidence in model parameter estimates in order to employ dynamical modeling to infer population dynamics. Our results suggest that a field researcher should collect at least 12 data points at the optimal times. Data collected according to this procedure along with dynamical modeling will allow us to estimate population dynamics from presence/absence-based data sets through the development of a scaling relationship. These Likert-type data sets are commonly collected by agricultural pest management consultants and are increasingly being used in ecoinformatics studies. By applying mathematical modeling with the relationship scale from the new data, we can then explore important integrated pest management questions using past and future presence/absence data sets. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-ce0e5c8af999478da2eaa5b5ec8722d7 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1551-0018 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2018-07-01 |
| publisher | AIMS Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-ce0e5c8af999478da2eaa5b5ec8722d72025-01-24T02:40:56ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182018-07-01154993101010.3934/mbe.2018044Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populationsH. T. Banks0R. A. Everett1Neha Murad2R. D. White3J. E. Banks4Bodil N. Cass5Jay A. Rosenheim6Center for Research in Scientific Computation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8212, USACenter for Research in Scientific Computation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8212, USACenter for Research in Scientific Computation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8212, USACenter for Research in Scientific Computation, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8212, USAUndergraduate Research Opportunities Center (UROC), California State University, Monterey Bay, Seaside, CA 93955, USADepartment of Entomology and Nematology, Center for Population Biology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, USADepartment of Entomology and Nematology, Center for Population Biology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, USAWe apply SE-optimal design methodology to investigate optimal data collection procedures as a first step in investigating information content in ecoinformatics data sets. To illustrate ideas we use a simple phenomenological citrus red mite population model for pest dynamics. First the optimal sampling distributions for a varying number of data points are determined. We then analyze these optimal distributions by comparing the standard errors of parameter estimates corresponding to each distribution. This allows us to investigate how many data are required to have confidence in model parameter estimates in order to employ dynamical modeling to infer population dynamics. Our results suggest that a field researcher should collect at least 12 data points at the optimal times. Data collected according to this procedure along with dynamical modeling will allow us to estimate population dynamics from presence/absence-based data sets through the development of a scaling relationship. These Likert-type data sets are commonly collected by agricultural pest management consultants and are increasingly being used in ecoinformatics studies. By applying mathematical modeling with the relationship scale from the new data, we can then explore important integrated pest management questions using past and future presence/absence data sets.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2018044dynamic modelingpest managementoptimal experimental designconstrained optimizationecoinformatics |
| spellingShingle | H. T. Banks R. A. Everett Neha Murad R. D. White J. E. Banks Bodil N. Cass Jay A. Rosenheim Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering dynamic modeling pest management optimal experimental design constrained optimization ecoinformatics |
| title | Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| title_full | Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| title_fullStr | Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| title_full_unstemmed | Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| title_short | Optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| title_sort | optimal design for dynamical modeling of pest populations |
| topic | dynamic modeling pest management optimal experimental design constrained optimization ecoinformatics |
| url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2018044 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT htbanks optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT raeverett optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT nehamurad optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT rdwhite optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT jebanks optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT bodilncass optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations AT jayarosenheim optimaldesignfordynamicalmodelingofpestpopulations |