The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths
<i>Background and Objectives</i>: This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of comprehensive data obtained in obstetric clinics for the detection of stillbirth and the predictive ability set of machine learning models for stillbirth. <i>Material and Method</i>: The stu...
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MDPI AG
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Medicina |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1648-9144/61/3/472 |
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| author | Oguzhan Gunenc Sukran Dogru Fikriye Karanfil Yaman Huriye Ezveci Ulfet Sena Metin Ali Acar |
| author_facet | Oguzhan Gunenc Sukran Dogru Fikriye Karanfil Yaman Huriye Ezveci Ulfet Sena Metin Ali Acar |
| author_sort | Oguzhan Gunenc |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <i>Background and Objectives</i>: This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of comprehensive data obtained in obstetric clinics for the detection of stillbirth and the predictive ability set of machine learning models for stillbirth. <i>Material and Method</i>: The study retrospectively included all stillbirths followed up at a hospital between January 2015 and March 2024 and randomly selected pregnancies that resulted in a live birth. The electronic record system accessed pregnant women’s maternal, fetal, and obstetric characteristics. Based on the perinatal characteristics of the cases, four distinct machine learning classifiers were developed: logistic regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and multilayer perceptron (MLP). <i>Results</i>: The study included a total of 951 patients, 499 of whom had live births and 452 of whom had stillbirths. The consanguinity rate, fetal anomalies, history of previous stillbirth, maternal thrombosis, oligohydramnios, and abruption of the placenta were significantly higher in the stillbirth group (<i>p</i> = 0.001). Previous stillbirth histories resulted in a higher rate of stillbirth (OR: 7.31, 95%CI: 2.76–19.31, <i>p</i> = 0.001). Previous thrombosis histories resulted in a higher rate of stillbirth (OR: 14.13, 95%CI: 5.08–39.31, <i>p</i> = 0.001). According to the accuracy estimates of the machine learning models, RF is the most successful model with 96.8% accuracy, 96.3% sensitivity, and 97.2% specificity. <i>Conclusions</i>: The RF machine learning approach employed to predict stillbirths had an accuracy rate of 96.8%. We believe that the elevated success rate of stillbirth prediction using maternal, neonatal, and obstetric risk factors will assist healthcare providers in reducing stillbirth rates through prenatal care interventions. |
| format | Article |
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| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1010-660X 1648-9144 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
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| series | Medicina |
| spelling | doaj-art-cdf3ff08ede94bfb97dc9eced75fe83a2025-08-20T01:49:00ZengMDPI AGMedicina1010-660X1648-91442025-03-0161347210.3390/medicina61030472The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict StillbirthsOguzhan Gunenc0Sukran Dogru1Fikriye Karanfil Yaman2Huriye Ezveci3Ulfet Sena Metin4Ali Acar5Konya City Hospital, Konya 42020, TurkeyKonya City Hospital, Konya 42020, TurkeyDivision of Perinatology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical School of Meram, Necmettin Erbakan University, Konya 42090, TurkeyDivision of Perinatology, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical School of Meram, Necmettin Erbakan University, Konya 42090, TurkeyDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical School of Meram, Necmettin Erbakan University, Konya 42090, TurkeyDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical School of Meram, Necmettin Erbakan University, Konya 42090, Turkey<i>Background and Objectives</i>: This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of comprehensive data obtained in obstetric clinics for the detection of stillbirth and the predictive ability set of machine learning models for stillbirth. <i>Material and Method</i>: The study retrospectively included all stillbirths followed up at a hospital between January 2015 and March 2024 and randomly selected pregnancies that resulted in a live birth. The electronic record system accessed pregnant women’s maternal, fetal, and obstetric characteristics. Based on the perinatal characteristics of the cases, four distinct machine learning classifiers were developed: logistic regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and multilayer perceptron (MLP). <i>Results</i>: The study included a total of 951 patients, 499 of whom had live births and 452 of whom had stillbirths. The consanguinity rate, fetal anomalies, history of previous stillbirth, maternal thrombosis, oligohydramnios, and abruption of the placenta were significantly higher in the stillbirth group (<i>p</i> = 0.001). Previous stillbirth histories resulted in a higher rate of stillbirth (OR: 7.31, 95%CI: 2.76–19.31, <i>p</i> = 0.001). Previous thrombosis histories resulted in a higher rate of stillbirth (OR: 14.13, 95%CI: 5.08–39.31, <i>p</i> = 0.001). According to the accuracy estimates of the machine learning models, RF is the most successful model with 96.8% accuracy, 96.3% sensitivity, and 97.2% specificity. <i>Conclusions</i>: The RF machine learning approach employed to predict stillbirths had an accuracy rate of 96.8%. We believe that the elevated success rate of stillbirth prediction using maternal, neonatal, and obstetric risk factors will assist healthcare providers in reducing stillbirth rates through prenatal care interventions.https://www.mdpi.com/1648-9144/61/3/472stillbirthmachine learningpredictionodds ratio |
| spellingShingle | Oguzhan Gunenc Sukran Dogru Fikriye Karanfil Yaman Huriye Ezveci Ulfet Sena Metin Ali Acar The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths Medicina stillbirth machine learning prediction odds ratio |
| title | The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths |
| title_full | The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths |
| title_fullStr | The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths |
| title_short | The Application of Machine Learning Models to Predict Stillbirths |
| title_sort | application of machine learning models to predict stillbirths |
| topic | stillbirth machine learning prediction odds ratio |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1648-9144/61/3/472 |
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