More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World

Abstract The impacts of extreme heat events depend on the concurrent humidity level. Hot and dry conditions harm crops and vegetation, while hot and humid conditions are particularly dangerous for human health. Whether a place tends to experience heat waves that are hot and dry, hot and wet, or both...

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Main Author: Ethan D. Coffel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-06-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005770
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author Ethan D. Coffel
author_facet Ethan D. Coffel
author_sort Ethan D. Coffel
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The impacts of extreme heat events depend on the concurrent humidity level. Hot and dry conditions harm crops and vegetation, while hot and humid conditions are particularly dangerous for human health. Whether a place tends to experience heat waves that are hot and dry, hot and wet, or both, depends on the local correlation between temperature and humidity. This paper uses reanalysis, observational data, and climate models to show that the global temperature‐humidity correlation has steadily declined since 1981 at a somewhat faster rate than climate models simulate. This decline in the temperature‐humidity correlation has occurred because humidity is increasing less quickly (or decreasing) on days with high dry‐bulb temperatures as compared to days with high wet‐bulb temperatures. The relative drying of hot and dry days is associated with those days warming faster than hot and humid days. Overall, the decline in the temperature‐humidity correlation has exacerbated the risk from hot and dry conditions while slightly slowing increases in hot and humid conditions.
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spelling doaj-art-cd8a9fdddb954155bf9251aba4e78f832025-08-20T03:27:07ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772025-06-01136n/an/a10.1029/2024EF005770More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming WorldEthan D. Coffel0Department of Geography and the Environment Syracuse University Syracuse NY USAAbstract The impacts of extreme heat events depend on the concurrent humidity level. Hot and dry conditions harm crops and vegetation, while hot and humid conditions are particularly dangerous for human health. Whether a place tends to experience heat waves that are hot and dry, hot and wet, or both, depends on the local correlation between temperature and humidity. This paper uses reanalysis, observational data, and climate models to show that the global temperature‐humidity correlation has steadily declined since 1981 at a somewhat faster rate than climate models simulate. This decline in the temperature‐humidity correlation has occurred because humidity is increasing less quickly (or decreasing) on days with high dry‐bulb temperatures as compared to days with high wet‐bulb temperatures. The relative drying of hot and dry days is associated with those days warming faster than hot and humid days. Overall, the decline in the temperature‐humidity correlation has exacerbated the risk from hot and dry conditions while slightly slowing increases in hot and humid conditions.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005770climate changeheathumidityclimate extremes
spellingShingle Ethan D. Coffel
More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
Earth's Future
climate change
heat
humidity
climate extremes
title More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
title_full More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
title_fullStr More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
title_full_unstemmed More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
title_short More Distinct Dry and Humid Heat in a Warming World
title_sort more distinct dry and humid heat in a warming world
topic climate change
heat
humidity
climate extremes
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005770
work_keys_str_mv AT ethandcoffel moredistinctdryandhumidheatinawarmingworld