Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities

Summary: Compared to air pollution, the Coal to Electricity (CtE) policy's impacts on the power system are less discussed. As China transitions to carbon neutrality, unstable wind, and photovoltaic (PV) units exacerbate power dispatching challenges amid increased heating loads. We simulate the...

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Main Authors: Lei Zhu, Zhuang Liang, Lizhong Zhang, Wenjun Meng, Xing Yao, Bin Su, Shu Tao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:iScience
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000343
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author Lei Zhu
Zhuang Liang
Lizhong Zhang
Wenjun Meng
Xing Yao
Bin Su
Shu Tao
author_facet Lei Zhu
Zhuang Liang
Lizhong Zhang
Wenjun Meng
Xing Yao
Bin Su
Shu Tao
author_sort Lei Zhu
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Compared to air pollution, the Coal to Electricity (CtE) policy's impacts on the power system are less discussed. As China transitions to carbon neutrality, unstable wind, and photovoltaic (PV) units exacerbate power dispatching challenges amid increased heating loads. We simulate the electric heating and cooking loads in the ''2 + 26'' cities and integrate them into a provincial power dispatch model to assess CtE’s influence. CtE shows a slight CO2 reduction compared to heating with coal, potentially cutting emissions by up to two-thirds in high renewable energy scenarios. However, electricity prices fluctuate more in such scenarios, possibly increasing heating bills. CtE loads could increase the loss of load possibility in some provinces, especially with temperature drops and renewable capacity expansions. Overall, CtE places significant stress on the power system due to its additional loads and load fluctuations, requiring extra measures to ensure system adequacy amidst high wind and solar installations.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2589-0042
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series iScience
spelling doaj-art-cd13ffdec0694367896d0919cbf385c92025-01-24T04:45:35ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422025-02-01282111775Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” citiesLei Zhu0Zhuang Liang1Lizhong Zhang2Wenjun Meng3Xing Yao4Bin Su5Shu Tao6School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, P.R. ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, P.R. ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, P.R. ChinaCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P.R. China; Minerva Research Group, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, GermanySchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, P.R. ChinaEnergy Studies Institute, National University of Singapore, Singapore 119620, Singapore; Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore, Singapore 117576, Singapore; Corresponding authorCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, Peking University, Beijing 100871, P.R. ChinaSummary: Compared to air pollution, the Coal to Electricity (CtE) policy's impacts on the power system are less discussed. As China transitions to carbon neutrality, unstable wind, and photovoltaic (PV) units exacerbate power dispatching challenges amid increased heating loads. We simulate the electric heating and cooking loads in the ''2 + 26'' cities and integrate them into a provincial power dispatch model to assess CtE’s influence. CtE shows a slight CO2 reduction compared to heating with coal, potentially cutting emissions by up to two-thirds in high renewable energy scenarios. However, electricity prices fluctuate more in such scenarios, possibly increasing heating bills. CtE loads could increase the loss of load possibility in some provinces, especially with temperature drops and renewable capacity expansions. Overall, CtE places significant stress on the power system due to its additional loads and load fluctuations, requiring extra measures to ensure system adequacy amidst high wind and solar installations.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000343Environmental scienceEnergy policy
spellingShingle Lei Zhu
Zhuang Liang
Lizhong Zhang
Wenjun Meng
Xing Yao
Bin Su
Shu Tao
Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
iScience
Environmental science
Energy policy
title Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
title_full Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
title_fullStr Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
title_short Assessing the impacts of coal-to-electricity transition in China’s regional power system and “2 + 26” cities
title_sort assessing the impacts of coal to electricity transition in china s regional power system and 2 26 cities
topic Environmental science
Energy policy
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004225000343
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AT zhuangliang assessingtheimpactsofcoaltoelectricitytransitioninchinasregionalpowersystemand226cities
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