Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria
Abstract This study examines the impact of trade per capita on human development outcomes in Nigeria over the period 1990–2022. Using data from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), World Development Indicators (WDI), and other national source, the study employs Autoregressive Distributed...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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SpringerOpen
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Future Business Journal |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00517-7 |
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| author | Iyabo A. Olanrele Sebil Olalekan Oshota |
| author_facet | Iyabo A. Olanrele Sebil Olalekan Oshota |
| author_sort | Iyabo A. Olanrele |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract This study examines the impact of trade per capita on human development outcomes in Nigeria over the period 1990–2022. Using data from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), World Development Indicators (WDI), and other national source, the study employs Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) for the main analysis and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS), Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) for robustness checks. The results reveal that trade per capita significantly enhances human development, particularly by improving gross national income per capita and life expectancy, while its effects on education outcomes are less consistent. Furthermore, GDP per capita growth is found to negatively affect life expectancy in certain cases, suggesting that economic growth alone does not guarantee human development unless accompanied by equitable resource distribution. Public health expenditure positively influences both life expectancy and education, emphasizing the importance of targeted investments. These findings underscore the need for policies that enhance trade openness while simultaneously addressing infrastructural gaps and investing in health and education sectors to ensure sustainable and inclusive development. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-cbb2c35bfaaa4cec8e348dc7c80d47da |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2314-7210 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | SpringerOpen |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Future Business Journal |
| spelling | doaj-art-cbb2c35bfaaa4cec8e348dc7c80d47da2025-08-20T03:53:12ZengSpringerOpenFuture Business Journal2314-72102025-05-0111111610.1186/s43093-025-00517-7Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in NigeriaIyabo A. Olanrele0Sebil Olalekan Oshota1Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER)Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER)Abstract This study examines the impact of trade per capita on human development outcomes in Nigeria over the period 1990–2022. Using data from the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), World Development Indicators (WDI), and other national source, the study employs Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) for the main analysis and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS), Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) for robustness checks. The results reveal that trade per capita significantly enhances human development, particularly by improving gross national income per capita and life expectancy, while its effects on education outcomes are less consistent. Furthermore, GDP per capita growth is found to negatively affect life expectancy in certain cases, suggesting that economic growth alone does not guarantee human development unless accompanied by equitable resource distribution. Public health expenditure positively influences both life expectancy and education, emphasizing the importance of targeted investments. These findings underscore the need for policies that enhance trade openness while simultaneously addressing infrastructural gaps and investing in health and education sectors to ensure sustainable and inclusive development.https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00517-7TradeHuman developmentPer capital incomeLife expectancy |
| spellingShingle | Iyabo A. Olanrele Sebil Olalekan Oshota Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria Future Business Journal Trade Human development Per capital income Life expectancy |
| title | Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria |
| title_full | Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria |
| title_short | Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria |
| title_sort | assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in nigeria |
| topic | Trade Human development Per capital income Life expectancy |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00517-7 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT iyaboaolanrele assessingtheimpactofinternationaltradeonhumandevelopmentoutcomesinnigeria AT sebilolalekanoshota assessingtheimpactofinternationaltradeonhumandevelopmentoutcomesinnigeria |