Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management

ABSTRACT Recruitment estimates are critical for making wildlife harvest decisions. Lactation rate is used to estimate recruitment in monotocous species and as a recruitment index for polytocous species such as white‐tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). However, the relationship between lactation an...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kamen L. Campbell, Bronson K. Strickland, Stephen Demarais, Guiming Wang, Phillip D. Jones, Chad M. Dacus
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-09-01
Series:Wildlife Society Bulletin
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.904
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850251773679239168
author Kamen L. Campbell
Bronson K. Strickland
Stephen Demarais
Guiming Wang
Phillip D. Jones
Chad M. Dacus
author_facet Kamen L. Campbell
Bronson K. Strickland
Stephen Demarais
Guiming Wang
Phillip D. Jones
Chad M. Dacus
author_sort Kamen L. Campbell
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Recruitment estimates are critical for making wildlife harvest decisions. Lactation rate is used to estimate recruitment in monotocous species and as a recruitment index for polytocous species such as white‐tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). However, the relationship between lactation and recruitment has never been formally tested, and the suitability of the lactation index as a management tool for deer has been assumed rather than confirmed. We simulated the response of lactation rates to variation in fawn recruitment stemming from changes in fecundity and neonatal mortality. Additionally, we examined effects of sample size on precision of lactation rate estimates. The relationship between recruitment and lactation rate was nearly linear when fecundity = 1.0, but became progressively less so as fecundity increased. Fawn mortality and herd fecundity explained 99% of the variability in lactation rate, and fawn mortality explained five times more variability than fecundity. Precision of lactation rate was highly affected by sample size, greatly reducing the quality of information available from small samples. Confidently assessing recruitment trends in moderately to highly productive populations may commonly require sample sizes unavailable on small properties. Biologists on properties with limited sample size should seek other, unrelated measures of recruitment to supplement or replace lactation rate. © 2018 The Wildlife Society.
format Article
id doaj-art-cba65ffc1f304b0ebae600b903343745
institution OA Journals
issn 2328-5540
language English
publishDate 2018-09-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Wildlife Society Bulletin
spelling doaj-art-cba65ffc1f304b0ebae600b9033437452025-08-20T01:57:49ZengWileyWildlife Society Bulletin2328-55402018-09-0142344445110.1002/wsb.904Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer managementKamen L. Campbell0Bronson K. Strickland1Stephen Demarais2Guiming Wang3Phillip D. Jones4Chad M. Dacus5Mail Stop 9690 Department of Wildlife, Fisheries and AquacultureMississippi State UniversityMS39762USAMail Stop 9690 Department of Wildlife, Fisheries and AquacultureMississippi State UniversityMS39762USAMail Stop 9690 Department of Wildlife, Fisheries and AquacultureMississippi State UniversityMS39762USAMail Stop 9690 Department of Wildlife, Fisheries and AquacultureMississippi State UniversityMS39762USAMail Stop 9690 Department of Wildlife, Fisheries and AquacultureMississippi State UniversityMS39762USAMississippi Department of Wildlife, Fisheries, and Parks1505 Eastover Drive, JacksonMS39211USAABSTRACT Recruitment estimates are critical for making wildlife harvest decisions. Lactation rate is used to estimate recruitment in monotocous species and as a recruitment index for polytocous species such as white‐tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). However, the relationship between lactation and recruitment has never been formally tested, and the suitability of the lactation index as a management tool for deer has been assumed rather than confirmed. We simulated the response of lactation rates to variation in fawn recruitment stemming from changes in fecundity and neonatal mortality. Additionally, we examined effects of sample size on precision of lactation rate estimates. The relationship between recruitment and lactation rate was nearly linear when fecundity = 1.0, but became progressively less so as fecundity increased. Fawn mortality and herd fecundity explained 99% of the variability in lactation rate, and fawn mortality explained five times more variability than fecundity. Precision of lactation rate was highly affected by sample size, greatly reducing the quality of information available from small samples. Confidently assessing recruitment trends in moderately to highly productive populations may commonly require sample sizes unavailable on small properties. Biologists on properties with limited sample size should seek other, unrelated measures of recruitment to supplement or replace lactation rate. © 2018 The Wildlife Society.https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.904fawn mortalityfecundityharvest ratelactation indexOdocoileus virginianusrecruitment
spellingShingle Kamen L. Campbell
Bronson K. Strickland
Stephen Demarais
Guiming Wang
Phillip D. Jones
Chad M. Dacus
Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
Wildlife Society Bulletin
fawn mortality
fecundity
harvest rate
lactation index
Odocoileus virginianus
recruitment
title Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
title_full Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
title_fullStr Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
title_short Sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white‐tailed deer management
title_sort sensitivity analysis demonstrates limits to utility of lactation index for white tailed deer management
topic fawn mortality
fecundity
harvest rate
lactation index
Odocoileus virginianus
recruitment
url https://doi.org/10.1002/wsb.904
work_keys_str_mv AT kamenlcampbell sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement
AT bronsonkstrickland sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement
AT stephendemarais sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement
AT guimingwang sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement
AT phillipdjones sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement
AT chadmdacus sensitivityanalysisdemonstrateslimitstoutilityoflactationindexforwhitetaileddeermanagement