Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Background Type 1 diabetes mellitus related chronic kidney disease (T1DM-CKD) presents a global health challenge, with unclear trends and patterns among adolescents and young adults. This study analyzed the burden and risk factors of T1DM-CKD in individuals aged 15 to 39 from 1990 to 2021 and predic...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xiaoli Qu, Chongbin Liu, Lin Sun, Zhifeng Sheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Korean Diabetes Association 2025-07-01
Series:Diabetes & Metabolism Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:http://e-dmj.org/upload/pdf/dmj-2024-0544.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850113379096592384
author Xiaoli Qu
Chongbin Liu
Lin Sun
Zhifeng Sheng
author_facet Xiaoli Qu
Chongbin Liu
Lin Sun
Zhifeng Sheng
author_sort Xiaoli Qu
collection DOAJ
description Background Type 1 diabetes mellitus related chronic kidney disease (T1DM-CKD) presents a global health challenge, with unclear trends and patterns among adolescents and young adults. This study analyzed the burden and risk factors of T1DM-CKD in individuals aged 15 to 39 from 1990 to 2021 and predicted future trends. Methods Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021, we analyzed the prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of T1DM-CKD among youth across gender, sociodemographic index (SDI) areas, and data from 21 regions and 204 countries and territories. Risk factors were assessed and future trends were projected. Results Between 1990 and 2021, the global prevalence of T1DM-CKD aged 15 to 39 increased by 107.5% to 3.32 million, with an age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of 111.44 per 100,000 (AAPC 1.33%). Incidence rose by 165.4% to 14,200, with an agestandardized incidence rate of 0.48 per 100,000 (AAPC 2.19%). However, age-standardized mortality rate (0.50 per 100,000, AAPC –0.87%) and age-standardized DALYs rate (30.61 per 100,000, AAPC –0.83%) decreased. ASPR increased across all SDI regions, especially in high-SDI countries. High fasting glucose remained the major risk factor influencing DALYs. By 2035, T1DM-CKD prevalence was projected to decrease to 2.86 million (ASPR 89.67 per 100,000). Conclusion The research revealed a global increase in T1DM-CKD among youth, with a shift towards younger onset and significant variations based on gender and location, emphasizing the importance of early prevention and management strategies for this demographic.
format Article
id doaj-art-cb555448d7f540f198ff1fbe1fd7c241
institution OA Journals
issn 2233-6079
2233-6087
language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Korean Diabetes Association
record_format Article
series Diabetes & Metabolism Journal
spelling doaj-art-cb555448d7f540f198ff1fbe1fd7c2412025-08-20T02:37:10ZengKorean Diabetes AssociationDiabetes & Metabolism Journal2233-60792233-60872025-07-0149481282510.4093/dmj.2024.05442941Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021Xiaoli Qu0Chongbin Liu1Lin Sun2Zhifeng Sheng3 Health Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China Department of Nephrology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Hunan Key Laboratory of Kidney Disease and Blood Purification, Changsha, China Department of Nephrology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Hunan Key Laboratory of Kidney Disease and Blood Purification, Changsha, China Health Management Center, National Clinical Research Center for Metabolic Diseases, Hunan Provincial Clinical Medicine Research Center for Intelligent Management of Chronic Disease, Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Metabolic Bone Diseases, Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, ChinaBackground Type 1 diabetes mellitus related chronic kidney disease (T1DM-CKD) presents a global health challenge, with unclear trends and patterns among adolescents and young adults. This study analyzed the burden and risk factors of T1DM-CKD in individuals aged 15 to 39 from 1990 to 2021 and predicted future trends. Methods Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021, we analyzed the prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of T1DM-CKD among youth across gender, sociodemographic index (SDI) areas, and data from 21 regions and 204 countries and territories. Risk factors were assessed and future trends were projected. Results Between 1990 and 2021, the global prevalence of T1DM-CKD aged 15 to 39 increased by 107.5% to 3.32 million, with an age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of 111.44 per 100,000 (AAPC 1.33%). Incidence rose by 165.4% to 14,200, with an agestandardized incidence rate of 0.48 per 100,000 (AAPC 2.19%). However, age-standardized mortality rate (0.50 per 100,000, AAPC –0.87%) and age-standardized DALYs rate (30.61 per 100,000, AAPC –0.83%) decreased. ASPR increased across all SDI regions, especially in high-SDI countries. High fasting glucose remained the major risk factor influencing DALYs. By 2035, T1DM-CKD prevalence was projected to decrease to 2.86 million (ASPR 89.67 per 100,000). Conclusion The research revealed a global increase in T1DM-CKD among youth, with a shift towards younger onset and significant variations based on gender and location, emphasizing the importance of early prevention and management strategies for this demographic.http://e-dmj.org/upload/pdf/dmj-2024-0544.pdfadolescentdiabetes mellitus, type 1epidemiologyglobal burden of diseaserenal insufficiency, chronicyoung adult
spellingShingle Xiaoli Qu
Chongbin Liu
Lin Sun
Zhifeng Sheng
Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Diabetes & Metabolism Journal
adolescent
diabetes mellitus, type 1
epidemiology
global burden of disease
renal insufficiency, chronic
young adult
title Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
title_full Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
title_fullStr Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
title_full_unstemmed Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
title_short Global Burden of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus Related Chronic Kidney Disease among Adolescents and Young Adults, and Projections to 2035: Results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
title_sort global burden of type 1 diabetes mellitus related chronic kidney disease among adolescents and young adults and projections to 2035 results from the global burden of disease study 2021
topic adolescent
diabetes mellitus, type 1
epidemiology
global burden of disease
renal insufficiency, chronic
young adult
url http://e-dmj.org/upload/pdf/dmj-2024-0544.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT xiaoliqu globalburdenoftype1diabetesmellitusrelatedchronickidneydiseaseamongadolescentsandyoungadultsandprojectionsto2035resultsfromtheglobalburdenofdiseasestudy2021
AT chongbinliu globalburdenoftype1diabetesmellitusrelatedchronickidneydiseaseamongadolescentsandyoungadultsandprojectionsto2035resultsfromtheglobalburdenofdiseasestudy2021
AT linsun globalburdenoftype1diabetesmellitusrelatedchronickidneydiseaseamongadolescentsandyoungadultsandprojectionsto2035resultsfromtheglobalburdenofdiseasestudy2021
AT zhifengsheng globalburdenoftype1diabetesmellitusrelatedchronickidneydiseaseamongadolescentsandyoungadultsandprojectionsto2035resultsfromtheglobalburdenofdiseasestudy2021