Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea

This paper describes long-term spatiotemporal trends in extreme significant wave height (SWH) in the South China Sea (SCS) based on 30-year wave hindcast. High-resolution reanalysis wind field data sets are employed to drive a spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III™ (WW3). The wave hindcast information i...

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Main Authors: Adekunle Osinowo, Xiaopei Lin, Dongliang Zhao, Zhifeng Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2419353
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author Adekunle Osinowo
Xiaopei Lin
Dongliang Zhao
Zhifeng Wang
author_facet Adekunle Osinowo
Xiaopei Lin
Dongliang Zhao
Zhifeng Wang
author_sort Adekunle Osinowo
collection DOAJ
description This paper describes long-term spatiotemporal trends in extreme significant wave height (SWH) in the South China Sea (SCS) based on 30-year wave hindcast. High-resolution reanalysis wind field data sets are employed to drive a spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III™ (WW3). The wave hindcast information is validated using altimeter wave information (Topex/Poseidon). The model performance is satisfactory. Subsequently, the trends in yearly/seasonal/monthly mean extreme SWH are analyzed. Results showed that trends greater than 0.05 m yr−1 are distributed over a large part of the central SCS. During winter, strong positive trends (0.07–0.08 m yr−1) are found in the extreme northeast SCS. Significant trends greater than 0.01 m yr−1 are distributed over most parts of the central SCS in spring. In summer, significant increasing trends (0.01–0.05 m yr−1) are distributed over most regions below latitude 16°N. During autumn, strong positive trends between 0.02 and 0.08 m yr−1 are found in small regions above latitude 12°N. Increasing positive trends are found to be generally significant in the central SCS in December, February, March, and July. Furthermore, temporal trend analysis showed that the extreme SWH exhibits a significant increasing trend of 0.011 m yr−1. The extreme SWH exhibits the strongest increasing trend of 0.03 m yr−1 in winter and showed a decreasing trend of −0.0098 m yr−1 in autumn.
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spelling doaj-art-cb50e39153bc42ea9244efa13305ebad2025-08-20T03:23:34ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/24193532419353Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China SeaAdekunle Osinowo0Xiaopei Lin1Dongliang Zhao2Zhifeng Wang3College of Physical and Environmental Oceanography, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, ChinaCollege of Physical and Environmental Oceanography, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, ChinaCollege of Physical and Environmental Oceanography, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, ChinaCollege of Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, ChinaThis paper describes long-term spatiotemporal trends in extreme significant wave height (SWH) in the South China Sea (SCS) based on 30-year wave hindcast. High-resolution reanalysis wind field data sets are employed to drive a spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III™ (WW3). The wave hindcast information is validated using altimeter wave information (Topex/Poseidon). The model performance is satisfactory. Subsequently, the trends in yearly/seasonal/monthly mean extreme SWH are analyzed. Results showed that trends greater than 0.05 m yr−1 are distributed over a large part of the central SCS. During winter, strong positive trends (0.07–0.08 m yr−1) are found in the extreme northeast SCS. Significant trends greater than 0.01 m yr−1 are distributed over most parts of the central SCS in spring. In summer, significant increasing trends (0.01–0.05 m yr−1) are distributed over most regions below latitude 16°N. During autumn, strong positive trends between 0.02 and 0.08 m yr−1 are found in small regions above latitude 12°N. Increasing positive trends are found to be generally significant in the central SCS in December, February, March, and July. Furthermore, temporal trend analysis showed that the extreme SWH exhibits a significant increasing trend of 0.011 m yr−1. The extreme SWH exhibits the strongest increasing trend of 0.03 m yr−1 in winter and showed a decreasing trend of −0.0098 m yr−1 in autumn.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2419353
spellingShingle Adekunle Osinowo
Xiaopei Lin
Dongliang Zhao
Zhifeng Wang
Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
Advances in Meteorology
title Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
title_full Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
title_fullStr Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
title_full_unstemmed Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
title_short Long-Term Variability of Extreme Significant Wave Height in the South China Sea
title_sort long term variability of extreme significant wave height in the south china sea
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2419353
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AT xiaopeilin longtermvariabilityofextremesignificantwaveheightinthesouthchinasea
AT dongliangzhao longtermvariabilityofextremesignificantwaveheightinthesouthchinasea
AT zhifengwang longtermvariabilityofextremesignificantwaveheightinthesouthchinasea