Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample

Background Although many epidemiological studies show an association of cigarette smoking with suicide the path to the latter is not well understood. Objective Using causal inference methodology with observational data, to examine if smoking leads indirectly to suicide through mental health hospital...

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Main Authors: lloyd Balbuena, Fredrik Åhs, Evyn Peters, Ana Mendes-Silva, Doug Speed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2025-06-01
Series:Tobacco Use Insights
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1179173X251349612
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author lloyd Balbuena
Fredrik Åhs
Evyn Peters
Ana Mendes-Silva
Doug Speed
author_facet lloyd Balbuena
Fredrik Åhs
Evyn Peters
Ana Mendes-Silva
Doug Speed
author_sort lloyd Balbuena
collection DOAJ
description Background Although many epidemiological studies show an association of cigarette smoking with suicide the path to the latter is not well understood. Objective Using causal inference methodology with observational data, to examine if smoking leads indirectly to suicide through mental health hospitalization. Design The study used 11 waves of a cross-sectional national health survey that was linked with hospitalization and death registers. Methods The data came from Canadian Community Health Survey respondents (n = 723 665) between the years 2000 and 2014. These respondents agreed to link their data with hospitalization and death registers and were followed for an average of 9.18 (SD: 4.42; range: 3 to 17) years. Mediation models, one each for men and women, were created in which lifetime daily smoking was the exposure, mental health hospitalization was the mediator, and death by suicide was the outcome, adjusting for 11 covariates reported at survey participation. Results In both men and women, the direct effect of daily smoking was larger than the indirect effect through hospitalization for mental conditions. The direct effect of smoking was 1.76 (95% CI: 1.47-2.10) for men and 2.60 (95% CI: 1.90-3.57) for women. The indirect effect through mental health hospitalization was 1.07 (95% CI: 1.05-1.09) for men and 1.04 (95% CI: 0.99-1.09) for women. Conclusion A relatively smaller proportion of the daily smoking-suicide association is transmitted indirectly through mental health hospitalizations compared to a direct effect. Suicide interventions focusing on people hospitalized for mental disorders may miss many suicidal people, so primary prevention and secondary prevention of smoking are crucial.
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spelling doaj-art-ca20fd94426a44b98ae1ee336caf01a82025-08-20T03:09:51ZengSAGE PublishingTobacco Use Insights1179-173X2025-06-011810.1177/1179173X251349612Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Samplelloyd BalbuenaFredrik ÅhsEvyn PetersAna Mendes-SilvaDoug SpeedBackground Although many epidemiological studies show an association of cigarette smoking with suicide the path to the latter is not well understood. Objective Using causal inference methodology with observational data, to examine if smoking leads indirectly to suicide through mental health hospitalization. Design The study used 11 waves of a cross-sectional national health survey that was linked with hospitalization and death registers. Methods The data came from Canadian Community Health Survey respondents (n = 723 665) between the years 2000 and 2014. These respondents agreed to link their data with hospitalization and death registers and were followed for an average of 9.18 (SD: 4.42; range: 3 to 17) years. Mediation models, one each for men and women, were created in which lifetime daily smoking was the exposure, mental health hospitalization was the mediator, and death by suicide was the outcome, adjusting for 11 covariates reported at survey participation. Results In both men and women, the direct effect of daily smoking was larger than the indirect effect through hospitalization for mental conditions. The direct effect of smoking was 1.76 (95% CI: 1.47-2.10) for men and 2.60 (95% CI: 1.90-3.57) for women. The indirect effect through mental health hospitalization was 1.07 (95% CI: 1.05-1.09) for men and 1.04 (95% CI: 0.99-1.09) for women. Conclusion A relatively smaller proportion of the daily smoking-suicide association is transmitted indirectly through mental health hospitalizations compared to a direct effect. Suicide interventions focusing on people hospitalized for mental disorders may miss many suicidal people, so primary prevention and secondary prevention of smoking are crucial.https://doi.org/10.1177/1179173X251349612
spellingShingle lloyd Balbuena
Fredrik Åhs
Evyn Peters
Ana Mendes-Silva
Doug Speed
Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
Tobacco Use Insights
title Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
title_full Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
title_fullStr Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
title_full_unstemmed Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
title_short Does the Path From Cigarette Smoking to Suicide Death Go Through the Hospital? A Causal Mediation Analysis in a National Canadian Sample
title_sort does the path from cigarette smoking to suicide death go through the hospital a causal mediation analysis in a national canadian sample
url https://doi.org/10.1177/1179173X251349612
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