Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation

The objective of this study is to propose a new operation method based on the universal grey number to overcome the shortcomings of typical interval operation in solving system fault trees. First, the failure probability ranges of the bottom events are described according to the conversion rules bet...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Feng Zhang, Shiwang Tan, Leilei Zhang, Yameng Wang, Yang Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1046054
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832553708870696960
author Feng Zhang
Shiwang Tan
Leilei Zhang
Yameng Wang
Yang Gao
author_facet Feng Zhang
Shiwang Tan
Leilei Zhang
Yameng Wang
Yang Gao
author_sort Feng Zhang
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this study is to propose a new operation method based on the universal grey number to overcome the shortcomings of typical interval operation in solving system fault trees. First, the failure probability ranges of the bottom events are described according to the conversion rules between the interval number and universal grey number. A more accurate system reliability calculation is then obtained based on the logical relationship between the AND gates and OR gates of a fault tree and universal grey number arithmetic. Then, considering an aircraft landing gear retraction system as an example, the failure probability range of the top event is obtained through universal grey operation. Next, the reliability of the aircraft landing gear retraction system is evaluated despite insufficient statistical information describing failures. The example demonstrates that the proposed method provides many advantages in resolving the system reliability problem despite poor information, yielding benefits for the function of the interval operation, and overcoming the drawback of solution interval enlargement under different orders of interval operation.
format Article
id doaj-art-ca0fb3950eba4be2892f7c3d309d9ec6
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-ca0fb3950eba4be2892f7c3d309d9ec62025-02-03T05:53:31ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262019-01-01201910.1155/2019/10460541046054Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey OperationFeng Zhang0Shiwang Tan1Leilei Zhang2Yameng Wang3Yang Gao4School of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710129, ChinaSchool of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710129, ChinaNo. 203 Research Institute of China Ordnance Industries, Xi’an 710065, ChinaSchool of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710129, ChinaSchool of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi’an 710129, ChinaThe objective of this study is to propose a new operation method based on the universal grey number to overcome the shortcomings of typical interval operation in solving system fault trees. First, the failure probability ranges of the bottom events are described according to the conversion rules between the interval number and universal grey number. A more accurate system reliability calculation is then obtained based on the logical relationship between the AND gates and OR gates of a fault tree and universal grey number arithmetic. Then, considering an aircraft landing gear retraction system as an example, the failure probability range of the top event is obtained through universal grey operation. Next, the reliability of the aircraft landing gear retraction system is evaluated despite insufficient statistical information describing failures. The example demonstrates that the proposed method provides many advantages in resolving the system reliability problem despite poor information, yielding benefits for the function of the interval operation, and overcoming the drawback of solution interval enlargement under different orders of interval operation.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1046054
spellingShingle Feng Zhang
Shiwang Tan
Leilei Zhang
Yameng Wang
Yang Gao
Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
Complexity
title Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
title_full Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
title_fullStr Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
title_full_unstemmed Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
title_short Fault Tree Interval Analysis of Complex Systems Based on Universal Grey Operation
title_sort fault tree interval analysis of complex systems based on universal grey operation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/1046054
work_keys_str_mv AT fengzhang faulttreeintervalanalysisofcomplexsystemsbasedonuniversalgreyoperation
AT shiwangtan faulttreeintervalanalysisofcomplexsystemsbasedonuniversalgreyoperation
AT leileizhang faulttreeintervalanalysisofcomplexsystemsbasedonuniversalgreyoperation
AT yamengwang faulttreeintervalanalysisofcomplexsystemsbasedonuniversalgreyoperation
AT yanggao faulttreeintervalanalysisofcomplexsystemsbasedonuniversalgreyoperation