Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Since the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. I...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0250775&type=printable |
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| _version_ | 1850181918961696768 |
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| author | Zirhumanana Balike Dieudonné |
| author_facet | Zirhumanana Balike Dieudonné |
| author_sort | Zirhumanana Balike Dieudonné |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Since the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. In this paper, a mathematical model for the spread of Covid-19 in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) taking into account the vulnerability of congolese economy is proposed. To mitigate the spreading of the virus no national lockdown is proposed, only individuals affected by the virus or suspicious are quarantined. The reproduction number for the Covid-19 is calculated and numerical simulations are performed using Python software. A clear advice for policymakers is deduced from the forecasting of the model. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-c8f73f696a5444119c5201ac1c1248b8 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj-art-c8f73f696a5444119c5201ac1c1248b82025-08-20T02:17:48ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032021-01-01165e025077510.1371/journal.pone.0250775Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.Zirhumanana Balike DieudonnéSince the apparition of the SRAS-Cov-2 in Wuhan in China, several countries have set diverse measures to stop its spread. Measures envisaged include national or local lockdown and travels ban. In the DRC, these measures have seriously prejudiced the economy of the country which is mainly informal. In this paper, a mathematical model for the spread of Covid-19 in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) taking into account the vulnerability of congolese economy is proposed. To mitigate the spreading of the virus no national lockdown is proposed, only individuals affected by the virus or suspicious are quarantined. The reproduction number for the Covid-19 is calculated and numerical simulations are performed using Python software. A clear advice for policymakers is deduced from the forecasting of the model.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0250775&type=printable |
| spellingShingle | Zirhumanana Balike Dieudonné Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. PLoS ONE |
| title | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. |
| title_full | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. |
| title_fullStr | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. |
| title_short | Mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the Covid-19 in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. |
| title_sort | mathematical model for the mitigation of the economic effects of the covid 19 in the democratic republic of the congo |
| url | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0250775&type=printable |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zirhumananabalikedieudonne mathematicalmodelforthemitigationoftheeconomiceffectsofthecovid19inthedemocraticrepublicofthecongo |