Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics

Regional accuracy was examined using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to improve frost prediction accuracy, and accuracy differences by region were found. When the points were divided into two groups with weather variables, Group 1 had a coastal climate with a high minimum temperature, humidity,...

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Main Authors: Hyojeoung Kim, Jong-Min Kim, Sahm Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1127628
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author Hyojeoung Kim
Jong-Min Kim
Sahm Kim
author_facet Hyojeoung Kim
Jong-Min Kim
Sahm Kim
author_sort Hyojeoung Kim
collection DOAJ
description Regional accuracy was examined using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to improve frost prediction accuracy, and accuracy differences by region were found. When the points were divided into two groups with weather variables, Group 1 had a coastal climate with a high minimum temperature, humidity, and wind speed and Group 2 exhibited relatively inland climate characteristics. We calculated the accuracy in the two groups and found that the precision and recall scores in coastal areas (Group 1) were significantly lower than those in the inland areas (Group 2). Geographic elements (distance from the nearest coast and height) were added as variables to improve accuracy. In addition, considering the continuity of frost occurrence, the method of reflecting the frost occurrence of the previous day as a variable and the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) pretreatment were used to increase the learning ability.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9317
language English
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-c881d630a89c4fea86686897ad5f86a82025-02-03T01:23:34ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93172022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1127628Frost Forecasting considering Geographical CharacteristicsHyojeoung Kim0Jong-Min Kim1Sahm Kim2Department of Applied StatisticsDivision of Science and MathematicsDepartment of Applied StatisticsRegional accuracy was examined using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to improve frost prediction accuracy, and accuracy differences by region were found. When the points were divided into two groups with weather variables, Group 1 had a coastal climate with a high minimum temperature, humidity, and wind speed and Group 2 exhibited relatively inland climate characteristics. We calculated the accuracy in the two groups and found that the precision and recall scores in coastal areas (Group 1) were significantly lower than those in the inland areas (Group 2). Geographic elements (distance from the nearest coast and height) were added as variables to improve accuracy. In addition, considering the continuity of frost occurrence, the method of reflecting the frost occurrence of the previous day as a variable and the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) pretreatment were used to increase the learning ability.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1127628
spellingShingle Hyojeoung Kim
Jong-Min Kim
Sahm Kim
Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
Advances in Meteorology
title Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
title_full Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
title_fullStr Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
title_full_unstemmed Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
title_short Frost Forecasting considering Geographical Characteristics
title_sort frost forecasting considering geographical characteristics
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1127628
work_keys_str_mv AT hyojeoungkim frostforecastingconsideringgeographicalcharacteristics
AT jongminkim frostforecastingconsideringgeographicalcharacteristics
AT sahmkim frostforecastingconsideringgeographicalcharacteristics