Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action

The article discusses the peculiarities of evaluation of quality of models and multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions). Such models are an effective and necessary tool for operational calculations at operational training activities, and procedures for assessing their qualitative properti...

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Main Authors: Borys Butvin, Olexander Mashkin, Olexii Solomitskii
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Національний університет оборони України 2019-12-01
Series:Sučasnì Informacìjnì Tehnologìï u Sferì Bezpeki ta Oboroni
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Online Access:http://sit.nuou.org.ua/article/view/190517
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author Borys Butvin
Olexander Mashkin
Olexii Solomitskii
author_facet Borys Butvin
Olexander Mashkin
Olexii Solomitskii
author_sort Borys Butvin
collection DOAJ
description The article discusses the peculiarities of evaluation of quality of models and multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions). Such models are an effective and necessary tool for operational calculations at operational training activities, and procedures for assessing their qualitative properties are an important and responsible phase of the life cycle. In theoretical qualifiers the direct and reverse tasks of quality assessment are distinguished, the first is based on the direct quality measurement, the second is the quality management of the product to give it the necessary properties. The reverse task becomes especially relevant for multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions), which are initially built with a flexible structure, which includes the possibility of adding new models or modifying existing ones. Since the concept of quality includes both objective properties and subjective assessments of the utility of an object, which are evaluated by a single generic indicator with a qualifying method, it is natural to involve experts in the subject area in such assessments. The development of an expert information processing unit, together with modern software tools for data analysis and processing, provides an opportunity to organize the process of quality assessment of the most important properties of models and multimodel complexes. This is possible by establishing a non-linear analytical dependency that links independent variables (processed expert estimates) to a dependent variable, which is an integral quality assessment of models. The example of such a dependency with a high determinative factor of integrated quality assessment, as discussed in the article, confirmed the usefulness of such an approach. Having the described quality assessment tool will allow to calculate the integral quality indicator of selected model properties with a high accuracy, as well as can be used for qualifying analysis of possible modifications and structural changes in models and multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions).
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institution Kabale University
issn 2311-7249
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publishDate 2019-12-01
publisher Національний університет оборони України
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series Sučasnì Informacìjnì Tehnologìï u Sferì Bezpeki ta Oboroni
spelling doaj-art-c85ed6468e4f4fd4a4654d1000dfa6f82025-08-20T03:52:06ZengНаціональний університет оборони УкраїниSučasnì Informacìjnì Tehnologìï u Sferì Bezpeki ta Oboroni2311-72492410-73362019-12-0136313514010.33099/2311-7249/2019-36-3-135-140190517Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle actionBorys Butvin0Olexander Mashkin1Olexii Solomitskii2Central Scientific Research Institute of the Armed Forces of UkraineCentral Scientific Research Institute of the Armed Forces of UkraineCentral Scientific Research Institute of the Armed Forces of UkraineThe article discusses the peculiarities of evaluation of quality of models and multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions). Such models are an effective and necessary tool for operational calculations at operational training activities, and procedures for assessing their qualitative properties are an important and responsible phase of the life cycle. In theoretical qualifiers the direct and reverse tasks of quality assessment are distinguished, the first is based on the direct quality measurement, the second is the quality management of the product to give it the necessary properties. The reverse task becomes especially relevant for multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions), which are initially built with a flexible structure, which includes the possibility of adding new models or modifying existing ones. Since the concept of quality includes both objective properties and subjective assessments of the utility of an object, which are evaluated by a single generic indicator with a qualifying method, it is natural to involve experts in the subject area in such assessments. The development of an expert information processing unit, together with modern software tools for data analysis and processing, provides an opportunity to organize the process of quality assessment of the most important properties of models and multimodel complexes. This is possible by establishing a non-linear analytical dependency that links independent variables (processed expert estimates) to a dependent variable, which is an integral quality assessment of models. The example of such a dependency with a high determinative factor of integrated quality assessment, as discussed in the article, confirmed the usefulness of such an approach. Having the described quality assessment tool will allow to calculate the integral quality indicator of selected model properties with a high accuracy, as well as can be used for qualifying analysis of possible modifications and structural changes in models and multimodel complexes of operations (combat actions).http://sit.nuou.org.ua/article/view/190517model qualificationpolymodel complex of operationsqualitative assessment of properties
spellingShingle Borys Butvin
Olexander Mashkin
Olexii Solomitskii
Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
Sučasnì Informacìjnì Tehnologìï u Sferì Bezpeki ta Oboroni
model qualification
polymodel complex of operations
qualitative assessment of properties
title Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
title_full Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
title_fullStr Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
title_full_unstemmed Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
title_short Application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
title_sort application of modified equations of dynamics of average for operational forecasting of the turn and results of battle action
topic model qualification
polymodel complex of operations
qualitative assessment of properties
url http://sit.nuou.org.ua/article/view/190517
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AT olexandermashkin applicationofmodifiedequationsofdynamicsofaverageforoperationalforecastingoftheturnandresultsofbattleaction
AT olexiisolomitskii applicationofmodifiedequationsofdynamicsofaverageforoperationalforecastingoftheturnandresultsofbattleaction