Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method

Studying complex dynamic systems is usually very challenging due to limited prior knowledge and high complexity of relationships between interconnected components. Current methods either are like a “black box” that is difficult to understand and relate back to the underlying system or have limited u...

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Main Authors: Yifan Zhao, Edward Hanna, Grant R. Bigg, Yitian Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/8570720
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author Yifan Zhao
Edward Hanna
Grant R. Bigg
Yitian Zhao
author_facet Yifan Zhao
Edward Hanna
Grant R. Bigg
Yitian Zhao
author_sort Yifan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Studying complex dynamic systems is usually very challenging due to limited prior knowledge and high complexity of relationships between interconnected components. Current methods either are like a “black box” that is difficult to understand and relate back to the underlying system or have limited universality and applicability due to too many assumptions. This paper proposes a time-varying Nonlinear Finite Impulse Response model to estimate the multiple features of correlation among measurements including direction, strength, significance, latency, correlation type, and nonlinearity. The dynamic behaviours of correlation are tracked through a sliding window approach based on the Blackman window rather than the simple truncation by a Rectangular window. This method is particularly useful for a system that has very little prior knowledge and the interaction between measurements is nonlinear, time-varying, rapidly changing, or of short duration. Simulation results suggest that the proposed tracking approach significantly reduces the sensitivity of correlation estimation against the window size. Such a method will improve the applicability and robustness of correlation analysis for complex systems. A real application to environmental changing data demonstrates the potential of the proposed method by revealing and characterising hidden information contained within measurements, which is usually “invisible” for conventional methods.
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spelling doaj-art-c85caf62f87f4f57847eeefa302134f32025-02-03T05:45:24ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262017-01-01201710.1155/2017/85707208570720Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio MethodYifan Zhao0Edward Hanna1Grant R. Bigg2Yitian Zhao3School of Aerospace, Transport and Manufacturing, Cranfield University, Cranfield, UKSchool of Geography, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UKDepartment of Geography, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UKCixi Institute of Biomedical Engineering, Ningbo Institute of Industrial Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Ningbo, ChinaStudying complex dynamic systems is usually very challenging due to limited prior knowledge and high complexity of relationships between interconnected components. Current methods either are like a “black box” that is difficult to understand and relate back to the underlying system or have limited universality and applicability due to too many assumptions. This paper proposes a time-varying Nonlinear Finite Impulse Response model to estimate the multiple features of correlation among measurements including direction, strength, significance, latency, correlation type, and nonlinearity. The dynamic behaviours of correlation are tracked through a sliding window approach based on the Blackman window rather than the simple truncation by a Rectangular window. This method is particularly useful for a system that has very little prior knowledge and the interaction between measurements is nonlinear, time-varying, rapidly changing, or of short duration. Simulation results suggest that the proposed tracking approach significantly reduces the sensitivity of correlation estimation against the window size. Such a method will improve the applicability and robustness of correlation analysis for complex systems. A real application to environmental changing data demonstrates the potential of the proposed method by revealing and characterising hidden information contained within measurements, which is usually “invisible” for conventional methods.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/8570720
spellingShingle Yifan Zhao
Edward Hanna
Grant R. Bigg
Yitian Zhao
Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
Complexity
title Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
title_full Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
title_fullStr Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
title_full_unstemmed Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
title_short Tracking Nonlinear Correlation for Complex Dynamic Systems Using a Windowed Error Reduction Ratio Method
title_sort tracking nonlinear correlation for complex dynamic systems using a windowed error reduction ratio method
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/8570720
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AT yitianzhao trackingnonlinearcorrelationforcomplexdynamicsystemsusingawindowederrorreductionratiomethod