Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices

Theoretical and applied studies about monitoring technology trends are carried out by organizations at global, national, sectoral, and corporate levels. Demand for them comes from the government, business, academic institutions, as well as the general public. Qualitative methods (expert interviews,...

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Main Authors: Nadezhda Mikova, Anna Sokolova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Research University Higher School of Economics 2014-12-01
Series:Foresight and STI Governance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19426
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author Nadezhda Mikova
Anna Sokolova
author_facet Nadezhda Mikova
Anna Sokolova
author_sort Nadezhda Mikova
collection DOAJ
description Theoretical and applied studies about monitoring technology trends are carried out by organizations at global, national, sectoral, and corporate levels. Demand for them comes from the government, business, academic institutions, as well as the general public. Qualitative methods (expert interviews, surveys, workshops, etc.) play a significant role in large practical projects. At the same time, there is a need to validate expert assessments with quantitative methods, which involve searching for implicit signs of technological change based on analysing large volume of information. Approaches that have been developed in the framework of theoretical research are based on integrating qualitative and quantitative methods, with an emphasis on the latter. They aim to create a well-grounded methodology for identifying global technology trends, define the necessary criteria, and use automated tools for processing large amounts of data. The paper presents an analytical review of international practices for monitoring global technology trends, as well as the key theoretical approaches and methods, which have been developed in this field. Next, it analyses the purposes of technology monitoring projects, examines the types of organizations implementing them, the methodology and results of such projects; explores the key areas of theoretical research on technology monitoring, and studies the criteria for determining the trends, as well as possible classifications of them. In addition, it presents the main stages of technology monitoring, studies the methodological trajectories of this process and information sources that can be used by various researchers. Finally, the paper analyses the combinations of methods that serve as the basis for identifying different types of technology trends.
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spelling doaj-art-c734431915494a779516bbdebc8d20202025-08-20T03:14:32ZengNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsForesight and STI Governance2500-25972014-12-018410.17323/1995-459X.2014.4.64.83Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best PracticesNadezhda Mikova0Anna Sokolova1HSE UniversityHSE University Theoretical and applied studies about monitoring technology trends are carried out by organizations at global, national, sectoral, and corporate levels. Demand for them comes from the government, business, academic institutions, as well as the general public. Qualitative methods (expert interviews, surveys, workshops, etc.) play a significant role in large practical projects. At the same time, there is a need to validate expert assessments with quantitative methods, which involve searching for implicit signs of technological change based on analysing large volume of information. Approaches that have been developed in the framework of theoretical research are based on integrating qualitative and quantitative methods, with an emphasis on the latter. They aim to create a well-grounded methodology for identifying global technology trends, define the necessary criteria, and use automated tools for processing large amounts of data. The paper presents an analytical review of international practices for monitoring global technology trends, as well as the key theoretical approaches and methods, which have been developed in this field. Next, it analyses the purposes of technology monitoring projects, examines the types of organizations implementing them, the methodology and results of such projects; explores the key areas of theoretical research on technology monitoring, and studies the criteria for determining the trends, as well as possible classifications of them. In addition, it presents the main stages of technology monitoring, studies the methodological trajectories of this process and information sources that can be used by various researchers. Finally, the paper analyses the combinations of methods that serve as the basis for identifying different types of technology trends. https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19426foresightpatent analysisglobal technology trends monitoringtechnology miningqualitative and quantitative methodsevidence-based approach
spellingShingle Nadezhda Mikova
Anna Sokolova
Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
Foresight and STI Governance
foresight
patent analysis
global technology trends monitoring
technology mining
qualitative and quantitative methods
evidence-based approach
title Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
title_full Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
title_fullStr Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
title_full_unstemmed Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
title_short Global Technology Trends Monitoring: Theoretical Frameworks and Best Practices
title_sort global technology trends monitoring theoretical frameworks and best practices
topic foresight
patent analysis
global technology trends monitoring
technology mining
qualitative and quantitative methods
evidence-based approach
url https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19426
work_keys_str_mv AT nadezhdamikova globaltechnologytrendsmonitoringtheoreticalframeworksandbestpractices
AT annasokolova globaltechnologytrendsmonitoringtheoreticalframeworksandbestpractices