Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level

Abstract Reconstructions of global mean sea level (GMSL) based on tide gauge measurements tend to exhibit common multidecadal rate fluctuations over the twentieth century. GMSL rate changes may result from physical drivers, such as changes in radiative forcing or land water storage. Alternatively, t...

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Main Authors: Svetlana I. Natarov, Mark A. Merrifield, Janet M. Becker, Phillip R. Thompson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-04-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071523
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author Svetlana I. Natarov
Mark A. Merrifield
Janet M. Becker
Phillip R. Thompson
author_facet Svetlana I. Natarov
Mark A. Merrifield
Janet M. Becker
Phillip R. Thompson
author_sort Svetlana I. Natarov
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Reconstructions of global mean sea level (GMSL) based on tide gauge measurements tend to exhibit common multidecadal rate fluctuations over the twentieth century. GMSL rate changes may result from physical drivers, such as changes in radiative forcing or land water storage. Alternatively, these fluctuations may represent artifacts due to sampling limitations inherent in the historical tide gauge network. In particular, a high percentage of tide gauges used in reconstructions, especially prior to the 1950s, are from Europe and North America in the North Atlantic region. Here a GMSL reconstruction based on the reduced space optimal interpolation algorithm is deconstructed, with the contributions of individual tide gauge stations quantified and assessed regionally. It is demonstrated that the North Atlantic region has a disproportionate influence on reconstructed GMSL rate fluctuations prior to the 1950s, notably accounting for a rate minimum in the 1920s and contributing to a rate maximum in the 1950s. North Atlantic coastal sea level fluctuations related to wind‐driven ocean volume redistribution likely contribute to these estimated GMSL rate inflections. The findings support previous claims that multidecadal rate changes in GMSL reconstructions are likely related to the geographic distribution of tide gauge stations within a sparse global network.
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spelling doaj-art-c66d0927fde54bcb968eaf6ad2c1be7f2025-08-20T03:10:24ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072017-04-014473274328210.1002/2016GL071523Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea levelSvetlana I. Natarov0Mark A. Merrifield1Janet M. Becker2Phillip R. Thompson3Department of Geology and Geophysics University of Hawaii at Mānoa Manoa Hawaii USADepartment of Oceanography University of Hawaii at Mānoa Manoa Hawaii USADepartment of Geology and Geophysics University of Hawaii at Mānoa Manoa Hawaii USADepartment of Oceanography University of Hawaii at Mānoa Manoa Hawaii USAAbstract Reconstructions of global mean sea level (GMSL) based on tide gauge measurements tend to exhibit common multidecadal rate fluctuations over the twentieth century. GMSL rate changes may result from physical drivers, such as changes in radiative forcing or land water storage. Alternatively, these fluctuations may represent artifacts due to sampling limitations inherent in the historical tide gauge network. In particular, a high percentage of tide gauges used in reconstructions, especially prior to the 1950s, are from Europe and North America in the North Atlantic region. Here a GMSL reconstruction based on the reduced space optimal interpolation algorithm is deconstructed, with the contributions of individual tide gauge stations quantified and assessed regionally. It is demonstrated that the North Atlantic region has a disproportionate influence on reconstructed GMSL rate fluctuations prior to the 1950s, notably accounting for a rate minimum in the 1920s and contributing to a rate maximum in the 1950s. North Atlantic coastal sea level fluctuations related to wind‐driven ocean volume redistribution likely contribute to these estimated GMSL rate inflections. The findings support previous claims that multidecadal rate changes in GMSL reconstructions are likely related to the geographic distribution of tide gauge stations within a sparse global network.https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071523GMSL reconstructionhistorical GMSL rate fluctuations
spellingShingle Svetlana I. Natarov
Mark A. Merrifield
Janet M. Becker
Phillip R. Thompson
Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
Geophysical Research Letters
GMSL reconstruction
historical GMSL rate fluctuations
title Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
title_full Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
title_fullStr Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
title_full_unstemmed Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
title_short Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
title_sort regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level
topic GMSL reconstruction
historical GMSL rate fluctuations
url https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071523
work_keys_str_mv AT svetlanainatarov regionalinfluencesonreconstructedglobalmeansealevel
AT markamerrifield regionalinfluencesonreconstructedglobalmeansealevel
AT janetmbecker regionalinfluencesonreconstructedglobalmeansealevel
AT philliprthompson regionalinfluencesonreconstructedglobalmeansealevel