A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision

Abstract Voting precincts are the finest spatial units for recording U.S. election results, while census geographies, including block groups, census tracts, and ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs), provide administrative data on demographic, economic, health, and environmental factors. This paper pres...

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Main Author: Amir Fekrazad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Series:Scientific Data
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05140-3
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author Amir Fekrazad
author_facet Amir Fekrazad
author_sort Amir Fekrazad
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Voting precincts are the finest spatial units for recording U.S. election results, while census geographies, including block groups, census tracts, and ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs), provide administrative data on demographic, economic, health, and environmental factors. This paper presents datasets that link precinct-level voting records to census geographies with precision. The allocation assumes votes within a precinct are proportional to household population, with population distributed from block groups to overlapping precinct fractions using the Regional Land Cover Regression (RLCR) method. Datasets based on surface area and imperviousness methods are also provided, but RLCR outperforms them across multiple error metrics in validation tests using census blocks and voter-level data. Covering the 2016 and 2020 U.S. general elections, these datasets facilitate merging voting records with sources like the American Community Survey, CDC Places, and IRS Statistics of Income to explore voter behavior across various contexts.
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spelling doaj-art-c643a12613254b58a47cf5eb927920a32025-08-20T03:48:05ZengNature PortfolioScientific Data2052-44632025-05-0112111010.1038/s41597-025-05140-3A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precisionAmir Fekrazad0College of Business, Texas A&M University-San AntonioAbstract Voting precincts are the finest spatial units for recording U.S. election results, while census geographies, including block groups, census tracts, and ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs), provide administrative data on demographic, economic, health, and environmental factors. This paper presents datasets that link precinct-level voting records to census geographies with precision. The allocation assumes votes within a precinct are proportional to household population, with population distributed from block groups to overlapping precinct fractions using the Regional Land Cover Regression (RLCR) method. Datasets based on surface area and imperviousness methods are also provided, but RLCR outperforms them across multiple error metrics in validation tests using census blocks and voter-level data. Covering the 2016 and 2020 U.S. general elections, these datasets facilitate merging voting records with sources like the American Community Survey, CDC Places, and IRS Statistics of Income to explore voter behavior across various contexts.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05140-3
spellingShingle Amir Fekrazad
A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
Scientific Data
title A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
title_full A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
title_fullStr A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
title_full_unstemmed A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
title_short A dataset of US precinct votes allocated to Census geographies with precision
title_sort dataset of us precinct votes allocated to census geographies with precision
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05140-3
work_keys_str_mv AT amirfekrazad adatasetofusprecinctvotesallocatedtocensusgeographieswithprecision
AT amirfekrazad datasetofusprecinctvotesallocatedtocensusgeographieswithprecision