Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models

Speed-volume-density relationship and capacity are key elements in modelling traffic operations, designing roadways, and evaluating facility performance. This paper uses a modified five-parameter logistic model to describe the speed-density relationship. The calibrated speed-density models show that...

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Main Authors: Chaoru Lu, Jing Dong, Anuj Sharma, Tingting Huang, Skylar Knickerbocker
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/9614501
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author Chaoru Lu
Jing Dong
Anuj Sharma
Tingting Huang
Skylar Knickerbocker
author_facet Chaoru Lu
Jing Dong
Anuj Sharma
Tingting Huang
Skylar Knickerbocker
author_sort Chaoru Lu
collection DOAJ
description Speed-volume-density relationship and capacity are key elements in modelling traffic operations, designing roadways, and evaluating facility performance. This paper uses a modified five-parameter logistic model to describe the speed-density relationship. The calibrated speed-density models show that the stop-and-go speed (Vb) and shape parameters (θ1 and θ2) are similar for work zones and the nonwork zone site. Accordingly, an operational capacity prediction method is proposed. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, the predicted operational capacities are compared with the field data, Highway Capacity Manual method, the output of WorkZoneQ software, and the ensemble tree approach under different work zone scenarios. Furthermore, a lifetime distribution prediction framework for stochastic capacity of work zones is proposed. The predicted lifetime distribution can well capture the tendency of the observed work zone capacities.
format Article
id doaj-art-c5b667680df74b368ba5db311fe1df19
institution OA Journals
issn 0197-6729
2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2018-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-c5b667680df74b368ba5db311fe1df192025-08-20T02:18:39ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/96145019614501Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density ModelsChaoru Lu0Jing Dong1Anuj Sharma2Tingting Huang3Skylar Knickerbocker4Traffic Engineering Research Center, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, 7033, NorwayDepartment of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, 50010, USADepartment of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, 50010, USADepartment of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, 50010, USADepartment of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, 50010, USASpeed-volume-density relationship and capacity are key elements in modelling traffic operations, designing roadways, and evaluating facility performance. This paper uses a modified five-parameter logistic model to describe the speed-density relationship. The calibrated speed-density models show that the stop-and-go speed (Vb) and shape parameters (θ1 and θ2) are similar for work zones and the nonwork zone site. Accordingly, an operational capacity prediction method is proposed. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, the predicted operational capacities are compared with the field data, Highway Capacity Manual method, the output of WorkZoneQ software, and the ensemble tree approach under different work zone scenarios. Furthermore, a lifetime distribution prediction framework for stochastic capacity of work zones is proposed. The predicted lifetime distribution can well capture the tendency of the observed work zone capacities.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/9614501
spellingShingle Chaoru Lu
Jing Dong
Anuj Sharma
Tingting Huang
Skylar Knickerbocker
Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
title_full Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
title_fullStr Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
title_short Predicting Freeway Work Zone Capacity Distribution Based on Logistic Speed-Density Models
title_sort predicting freeway work zone capacity distribution based on logistic speed density models
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/9614501
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AT jingdong predictingfreewayworkzonecapacitydistributionbasedonlogisticspeeddensitymodels
AT anujsharma predictingfreewayworkzonecapacitydistributionbasedonlogisticspeeddensitymodels
AT tingtinghuang predictingfreewayworkzonecapacitydistributionbasedonlogisticspeeddensitymodels
AT skylarknickerbocker predictingfreewayworkzonecapacitydistributionbasedonlogisticspeeddensitymodels