Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response

In prognostic studies for breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), the ordinary Cox proportional-hazards (PH) model has been often used to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS). This model assumes that all patients eventually experience relapse or dea...

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Main Authors: Junichi Asano, Akihiro Hirakawa, Chikuma Hamada, Kan Yonemori, Taizo Hirata, Chikako Shimizu, Kenji Tamura, Yasuhiro Fujiwara
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:International Journal of Breast Cancer
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/354579
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author Junichi Asano
Akihiro Hirakawa
Chikuma Hamada
Kan Yonemori
Taizo Hirata
Chikako Shimizu
Kenji Tamura
Yasuhiro Fujiwara
author_facet Junichi Asano
Akihiro Hirakawa
Chikuma Hamada
Kan Yonemori
Taizo Hirata
Chikako Shimizu
Kenji Tamura
Yasuhiro Fujiwara
author_sort Junichi Asano
collection DOAJ
description In prognostic studies for breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), the ordinary Cox proportional-hazards (PH) model has been often used to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS). This model assumes that all patients eventually experience relapse or death. However, a subset of NAC-treated breast cancer patients never experience these events during long-term follow-up (>10 years) and may be considered clinically “cured.” Clinical factors associated with cure have not been studied adequately. Because the ordinary Cox PH model cannot be used to identify such clinical factors, we used the Cox PH cure model, a recently developed statistical method. This model includes both a logistic regression component for the cure rate and a Cox regression component for the hazard for uncured patients. The purpose of this study was to identify the clinical factors associated with cure and the variables associated with the time to recurrence or death in NAC-treated breast cancer patients without a pathologic complete response, by using the Cox PH cure model. We found that hormone receptor status, clinical response, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status, histological grade, and the number of lymph node metastases were associated with cure.
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publishDate 2013-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-c597ae473fa546f38cd2d11fca560e7a2025-08-20T02:18:39ZengWileyInternational Journal of Breast Cancer2090-31702090-31892013-01-01201310.1155/2013/354579354579Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete ResponseJunichi Asano0Akihiro Hirakawa1Chikuma Hamada2Kan Yonemori3Taizo Hirata4Chikako Shimizu5Kenji Tamura6Yasuhiro Fujiwara7Department of Management Science, Tokyo University of Science, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 162-8601, JapanCenter for Advanced Medicine and Clinical Research, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, 65 Tsurumai-cho, Showa-ku, Nagoya 466-8560, JapanDepartment of Management Science, Tokyo University of Science, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo 162-8601, JapanDepartment of Breast and Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, 5-1-1 Tsukiji, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0045, JapanDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, Okayama University Hospital, 2-5-1 Shikata-cho, Okayama 700-8558, JapanDepartment of Breast and Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, 5-1-1 Tsukiji, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0045, JapanDepartment of Breast and Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, 5-1-1 Tsukiji, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0045, JapanDepartment of Breast and Medical Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital, 5-1-1 Tsukiji, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0045, JapanIn prognostic studies for breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), the ordinary Cox proportional-hazards (PH) model has been often used to identify prognostic factors for disease-free survival (DFS). This model assumes that all patients eventually experience relapse or death. However, a subset of NAC-treated breast cancer patients never experience these events during long-term follow-up (>10 years) and may be considered clinically “cured.” Clinical factors associated with cure have not been studied adequately. Because the ordinary Cox PH model cannot be used to identify such clinical factors, we used the Cox PH cure model, a recently developed statistical method. This model includes both a logistic regression component for the cure rate and a Cox regression component for the hazard for uncured patients. The purpose of this study was to identify the clinical factors associated with cure and the variables associated with the time to recurrence or death in NAC-treated breast cancer patients without a pathologic complete response, by using the Cox PH cure model. We found that hormone receptor status, clinical response, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status, histological grade, and the number of lymph node metastases were associated with cure.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/354579
spellingShingle Junichi Asano
Akihiro Hirakawa
Chikuma Hamada
Kan Yonemori
Taizo Hirata
Chikako Shimizu
Kenji Tamura
Yasuhiro Fujiwara
Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
International Journal of Breast Cancer
title Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
title_full Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
title_fullStr Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
title_full_unstemmed Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
title_short Use of Cox’s Cure Model to Establish Clinical Determinants of Long-Term Disease-Free Survival in Neoadjuvant-Chemotherapy-Treated Breast Cancer Patients without Pathologic Complete Response
title_sort use of cox s cure model to establish clinical determinants of long term disease free survival in neoadjuvant chemotherapy treated breast cancer patients without pathologic complete response
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/354579
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