Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Using Machine Learning Approaches in a Case Study of a Water Distribution Network Located in Italy

Machine learning’s application in short-term water demand forecasting remains a pivotal area of research in water distribution system studies. This investigation reveals a distinctive distribution pattern for the daily demand following dataset preprocessing with Random Forest and the quartile method...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Qidong Que, Jinliang Gao, Wenyan Wu, Huizhe Cao, Kunyi Li, Hanshu Zhang, Yi He, Rui Shen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Engineering Proceedings
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4591/69/1/177
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Summary:Machine learning’s application in short-term water demand forecasting remains a pivotal area of research in water distribution system studies. This investigation reveals a distinctive distribution pattern for the daily demand following dataset preprocessing with Random Forest and the quartile method. Inspired by the findings, this study introduces a novel Water Demand Forecast Framework (WDFF) using DMA characteristics and the CNN–Attention–LSTM architecture. By analyzing the relationship between the total and DMA-specific demand, the WDFF is found to enhance the predictions. It demonstrates expedited convergence and reduces the loss metric, demonstrating its potential to elevate the predictive precision in water demand forecasting.
ISSN:2673-4591