Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling

Digital technology has become increasingly prevalent in higher education classrooms. However, the impact of different types and use frequencies of digital technology on college students’ classroom engagement can vary substantially. This study aims to develop an interpretable machine learning model t...

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Main Authors: Liguo Zhang, Jiarui Gao, Liangyu Zhao, Zetan Liu, Anlin Guan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/7/3884
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author Liguo Zhang
Jiarui Gao
Liangyu Zhao
Zetan Liu
Anlin Guan
author_facet Liguo Zhang
Jiarui Gao
Liangyu Zhao
Zetan Liu
Anlin Guan
author_sort Liguo Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Digital technology has become increasingly prevalent in higher education classrooms. However, the impact of different types and use frequencies of digital technology on college students’ classroom engagement can vary substantially. This study aims to develop an interpretable machine learning model to predict student classroom engagement based on various digital technologies and construct a structural equation model (SEM) to further investigate the underlying mechanisms involving perceived usefulness (PU), perceived ease of use (PEU), and academic self-efficacy (ASE). Nine machine learning algorithms were employed to develop interpretable predictive models, rank the importance of digital technology tools, and identify the optimal predictive model for student engagement. A total of 1158 eligible Chinese university students participated in this study. The results indicated that subject-specific software, management software, websites, and mobile devices were identified as key factors influencing student engagement. Interaction effect analyses revealed significant synergistic effects between management software and subject-specific software, identifying them as primary determinants of student engagement. SEM results demonstrated that digital technology usage frequency indirectly influenced student engagement through PU, PEU, and ASE, with both PU and ASE as well as PEU and ASE playing chain-mediated roles. The findings underscore the importance of integrating digital tools strategically in PE classrooms to enhance engagement. These insights offer practical implications for higher education institutions and policymakers.
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spelling doaj-art-c53bb134bdbb404db6cc3aaaedb14dd02025-08-20T02:09:15ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-04-01157388410.3390/app15073884Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation ModelingLiguo Zhang0Jiarui Gao1Liangyu Zhao2Zetan Liu3Anlin Guan4School of Physical Education, Shandong University, Jinan 250014, ChinaSchool of Physical Education, Shandong University, Jinan 250014, ChinaSchool of Physical Education, Shandong University, Jinan 250014, ChinaSchool of Physical Education, Shandong University, Jinan 250014, ChinaSchool of Physical Education and Health Sciences, Guangxi Minzu University, Nanning 530006, ChinaDigital technology has become increasingly prevalent in higher education classrooms. However, the impact of different types and use frequencies of digital technology on college students’ classroom engagement can vary substantially. This study aims to develop an interpretable machine learning model to predict student classroom engagement based on various digital technologies and construct a structural equation model (SEM) to further investigate the underlying mechanisms involving perceived usefulness (PU), perceived ease of use (PEU), and academic self-efficacy (ASE). Nine machine learning algorithms were employed to develop interpretable predictive models, rank the importance of digital technology tools, and identify the optimal predictive model for student engagement. A total of 1158 eligible Chinese university students participated in this study. The results indicated that subject-specific software, management software, websites, and mobile devices were identified as key factors influencing student engagement. Interaction effect analyses revealed significant synergistic effects between management software and subject-specific software, identifying them as primary determinants of student engagement. SEM results demonstrated that digital technology usage frequency indirectly influenced student engagement through PU, PEU, and ASE, with both PU and ASE as well as PEU and ASE playing chain-mediated roles. The findings underscore the importance of integrating digital tools strategically in PE classrooms to enhance engagement. These insights offer practical implications for higher education institutions and policymakers.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/7/3884machine learningstructural equation modelingstudent engagementphysical education classesdigital technology
spellingShingle Liguo Zhang
Jiarui Gao
Liangyu Zhao
Zetan Liu
Anlin Guan
Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
Applied Sciences
machine learning
structural equation modeling
student engagement
physical education classes
digital technology
title Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
title_full Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
title_fullStr Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
title_full_unstemmed Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
title_short Predicting College Student Engagement in Physical Education Classes Using Machine Learning and Structural Equation Modeling
title_sort predicting college student engagement in physical education classes using machine learning and structural equation modeling
topic machine learning
structural equation modeling
student engagement
physical education classes
digital technology
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/7/3884
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AT jiaruigao predictingcollegestudentengagementinphysicaleducationclassesusingmachinelearningandstructuralequationmodeling
AT liangyuzhao predictingcollegestudentengagementinphysicaleducationclassesusingmachinelearningandstructuralequationmodeling
AT zetanliu predictingcollegestudentengagementinphysicaleducationclassesusingmachinelearningandstructuralequationmodeling
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