The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy

The Indonesian national industry has experienced a slowdown in growth and decrease in competitiveness, allegedly caused by the high price of natural gas. Therefore, the government intervened by implementing Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy (Harga Gas Bumi Tertentu), a policy that facilitates indu...

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Main Authors: Djoni Hartono, Indah Prasetyawati
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Muhammadiyah University Press 2023-05-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
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Online Access:https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9601
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author Djoni Hartono
Indah Prasetyawati
author_facet Djoni Hartono
Indah Prasetyawati
author_sort Djoni Hartono
collection DOAJ
description The Indonesian national industry has experienced a slowdown in growth and decrease in competitiveness, allegedly caused by the high price of natural gas. Therefore, the government intervened by implementing Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy (Harga Gas Bumi Tertentu), a policy that facilitates industries to obtain gas at lower prices through the issuance of Presidential Decree Number 121 of 2020 concerning Natural Gas Pricing. This study aims to analyze the impact of the policy on the national economy by considering the decline in state revenues as a consequence of the reduced price of natural gas for industry. Using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, analyses were carried out on various economic indicators. This study finds a decline in GDP for 0.076% in the short-run and an increase in GDP for 0.004% in the long-run. Furthermore, household income, in both rural and urban areas, decreases from 0.1 to 0.2% in both short and long-run. For industries that use gas intensively, the price reduction increases sectoral output and labor, and reduces commodity prices.
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publishDate 2023-05-01
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series Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
spelling doaj-art-c4f125911a394a2a8f28ce1973fcd1042025-08-20T03:17:25ZengMuhammadiyah University PressJurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan1411-60812460-93312023-05-0111212810.23917/jep.v24i1.215449664The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s EconomyDjoni Hartono0Indah Prasetyawati1Research Cluster on Energy Modeling and Regional Economic Analysis, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia, IndonesiaDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia, IndonesiaThe Indonesian national industry has experienced a slowdown in growth and decrease in competitiveness, allegedly caused by the high price of natural gas. Therefore, the government intervened by implementing Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy (Harga Gas Bumi Tertentu), a policy that facilitates industries to obtain gas at lower prices through the issuance of Presidential Decree Number 121 of 2020 concerning Natural Gas Pricing. This study aims to analyze the impact of the policy on the national economy by considering the decline in state revenues as a consequence of the reduced price of natural gas for industry. Using the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, analyses were carried out on various economic indicators. This study finds a decline in GDP for 0.076% in the short-run and an increase in GDP for 0.004% in the long-run. Furthermore, household income, in both rural and urban areas, decreases from 0.1 to 0.2% in both short and long-run. For industries that use gas intensively, the price reduction increases sectoral output and labor, and reduces commodity prices.https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9601natural gas pricespolicyimpact analysiscge
spellingShingle Djoni Hartono
Indah Prasetyawati
The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
natural gas prices
policy
impact analysis
cge
title The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
title_full The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
title_fullStr The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
title_short The Impact of Certain Price of Natural Gas Policy on Indonesia’s Economy
title_sort impact of certain price of natural gas policy on indonesia s economy
topic natural gas prices
policy
impact analysis
cge
url https://journals2.ums.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/9601
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