ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study

Abstract In clinical practice, the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Metrology Index (BASMI) score of healthy individuals is more than zero. However, the lower limit of the BASMI score range for patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is 0, which is inconsistent with that observed in actual clinical set...

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Main Authors: Genggeng Guo, Juanjuan He, Jianwen Liu, Xiaoye Yan, Meng Zhou, Chenmin Wu, Diantian Lin, Zhihan Chen, Qing Yan, Fei Gao, Zugang Xie, Feng Huang, Shengli Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-11571-0
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author Genggeng Guo
Juanjuan He
Jianwen Liu
Xiaoye Yan
Meng Zhou
Chenmin Wu
Diantian Lin
Zhihan Chen
Qing Yan
Fei Gao
Zugang Xie
Feng Huang
Shengli Zhang
author_facet Genggeng Guo
Juanjuan He
Jianwen Liu
Xiaoye Yan
Meng Zhou
Chenmin Wu
Diantian Lin
Zhihan Chen
Qing Yan
Fei Gao
Zugang Xie
Feng Huang
Shengli Zhang
author_sort Genggeng Guo
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In clinical practice, the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Metrology Index (BASMI) score of healthy individuals is more than zero. However, the lower limit of the BASMI score range for patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is 0, which is inconsistent with that observed in actual clinical settings. Based on findings from a multicenter case-control study, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value and doubtable value interval of BASMI, thereby providing a reference to facilitate the evaluation of patients with AS.Patients with AS and healthy controls were recruited, and their demographic characteristics were examined. Spinal mobility was assessed by our standardized and trained measurement team. We used the SPSS26.0 statistical software to categorize the pertinent BASMI scores of the patients and healthy controls by age and sex. We subsequently prepared the BASMI ROC curve, calculated the Youden index, and determined the optimal cutoff value and doubtable value interval. In the present study, 246 patients with AS (patient group) and 246 healthy controls (control group) were recruited. Only three (0.9%) and four (1.18%) individuals in the control and patient groups had a BASMI score of 0, respectively. The optimal cutoff value of BASMI in the general population was 1.5 points, the doubtable value interval was 0.7–2.1 points, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.867 (95% confidence interval, 0.835–0.899; P < 0.001). The optimal cutoff value of BASMI was determined as part of a preliminary analysis.A BASMI score > 1.5 may signal spinal mobility limitations; however, its clinical relevance requires validation against functional and structural progression endpoints.Furthermore, when the BASMI score of an individual range from 0.7 to 2.1, it is crucial to determine whether the individual has AS.
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spelling doaj-art-c4a4237b747345cdb2e05f697c4777762025-08-20T04:01:51ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111010.1038/s41598-025-11571-0ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control studyGenggeng Guo0Juanjuan He1Jianwen Liu2Xiaoye Yan3Meng Zhou4Chenmin Wu5Diantian Lin6Zhihan Chen7Qing Yan8Fei Gao9Zugang Xie10Feng Huang11Shengli Zhang12Department of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityDepartment of Rheumatology, People’s Hospital of LongyanDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General HospitalDepartment of Rheumatology, Affiliated Shengli Hospital of Fuzhou UniversityAbstract In clinical practice, the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Metrology Index (BASMI) score of healthy individuals is more than zero. However, the lower limit of the BASMI score range for patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is 0, which is inconsistent with that observed in actual clinical settings. Based on findings from a multicenter case-control study, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value and doubtable value interval of BASMI, thereby providing a reference to facilitate the evaluation of patients with AS.Patients with AS and healthy controls were recruited, and their demographic characteristics were examined. Spinal mobility was assessed by our standardized and trained measurement team. We used the SPSS26.0 statistical software to categorize the pertinent BASMI scores of the patients and healthy controls by age and sex. We subsequently prepared the BASMI ROC curve, calculated the Youden index, and determined the optimal cutoff value and doubtable value interval. In the present study, 246 patients with AS (patient group) and 246 healthy controls (control group) were recruited. Only three (0.9%) and four (1.18%) individuals in the control and patient groups had a BASMI score of 0, respectively. The optimal cutoff value of BASMI in the general population was 1.5 points, the doubtable value interval was 0.7–2.1 points, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.867 (95% confidence interval, 0.835–0.899; P < 0.001). The optimal cutoff value of BASMI was determined as part of a preliminary analysis.A BASMI score > 1.5 may signal spinal mobility limitations; however, its clinical relevance requires validation against functional and structural progression endpoints.Furthermore, when the BASMI score of an individual range from 0.7 to 2.1, it is crucial to determine whether the individual has AS.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-11571-0Ankylosing spondylitisBASMIROC curveOptimal cutoff valueDoubtable value interval
spellingShingle Genggeng Guo
Juanjuan He
Jianwen Liu
Xiaoye Yan
Meng Zhou
Chenmin Wu
Diantian Lin
Zhihan Chen
Qing Yan
Fei Gao
Zugang Xie
Feng Huang
Shengli Zhang
ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
Scientific Reports
Ankylosing spondylitis
BASMI
ROC curve
Optimal cutoff value
Doubtable value interval
title ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
title_full ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
title_fullStr ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
title_full_unstemmed ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
title_short ROC analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the Bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
title_sort roc analysis determines optimal cutoff and doubtable interval of the bath ankylosing spondylitis metrology index in a multicenter case control study
topic Ankylosing spondylitis
BASMI
ROC curve
Optimal cutoff value
Doubtable value interval
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-11571-0
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