Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method

The transformation of old neighborhood is a significant livelihood project for urban renewal, and promoting the profound transformation of old neighborhood is a significant problem faced by China, while the Engineering Procurement Construction(EPC) model integrates the design, procurement, and const...

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Main Authors: Zhang Yinghui, Li Tian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2025-06-01
Series:Archives of Civil Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.pan.pl/Content/135376/PDF/24_2k.pdf
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author Zhang Yinghui
Li Tian
author_facet Zhang Yinghui
Li Tian
author_sort Zhang Yinghui
collection DOAJ
description The transformation of old neighborhood is a significant livelihood project for urban renewal, and promoting the profound transformation of old neighborhood is a significant problem faced by China, while the Engineering Procurement Construction(EPC) model integrates the design, procurement, and construction of the transformation project of old neighborhood, which improves the efficiency and quality of the transformation at the same time, and faces a significant cost risk problem due to the change of fixed lump-sum price contract, so in order to enhance the ability of the general contractor to prevent the cost risk and to improve the transformation project benefits, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system consisting of 19 factors to assess the cost risk in all aspects from environment, technology, management, and economy, which proposes a new type of evaluation method combining structural equation modeling (SEM), blind number theory (BNT), and matter-element extension model (MEEM), and combines with the actual cases of old neighborhood remodeling to arrive at the risk level of the factors and based on the results of the analysis are given to confirm the validity of the model and provides a successful risk assessment tool.
format Article
id doaj-art-c474b5373855403f9dbff967e14152dc
institution DOAJ
issn 1230-2945
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publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Polish Academy of Sciences
record_format Article
series Archives of Civil Engineering
spelling doaj-art-c474b5373855403f9dbff967e14152dc2025-08-20T02:39:28ZengPolish Academy of SciencesArchives of Civil Engineering1230-29452025-06-01vol. 71No 2377392https://doi.org/10.24425/ace.2025.154127Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM methodZhang Yinghui0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0923-2030Li Tian1https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3544-8277Changsha University of Science and Technology, School of Transportation and Traffic Engineering, No.960, Section 2, Wanjiali South Road, Tianxin District, Changsha, Hunan ProvinceChangsha University of Science and Technology, School of Transportation and Traffic Engineering, No.960, Section 2, Wanjiali South Road, Tianxin District, Changsha, Hunan ProvinceThe transformation of old neighborhood is a significant livelihood project for urban renewal, and promoting the profound transformation of old neighborhood is a significant problem faced by China, while the Engineering Procurement Construction(EPC) model integrates the design, procurement, and construction of the transformation project of old neighborhood, which improves the efficiency and quality of the transformation at the same time, and faces a significant cost risk problem due to the change of fixed lump-sum price contract, so in order to enhance the ability of the general contractor to prevent the cost risk and to improve the transformation project benefits, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system consisting of 19 factors to assess the cost risk in all aspects from environment, technology, management, and economy, which proposes a new type of evaluation method combining structural equation modeling (SEM), blind number theory (BNT), and matter-element extension model (MEEM), and combines with the actual cases of old neighborhood remodeling to arrive at the risk level of the factors and based on the results of the analysis are given to confirm the validity of the model and provides a successful risk assessment tool.https://journals.pan.pl/Content/135376/PDF/24_2k.pdfrenovation of old neighborhoodepc projectcost risk assessmentgeneral contractorsem-bnt-meem model
spellingShingle Zhang Yinghui
Li Tian
Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
Archives of Civil Engineering
renovation of old neighborhood
epc project
cost risk assessment
general contractor
sem-bnt-meem model
title Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
title_full Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
title_fullStr Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
title_full_unstemmed Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
title_short Cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of EPC projects in China using SEM-BNT-MEEM method
title_sort cost risk assessment for renovating old neighborhood of epc projects in china using sem bnt meem method
topic renovation of old neighborhood
epc project
cost risk assessment
general contractor
sem-bnt-meem model
url https://journals.pan.pl/Content/135376/PDF/24_2k.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangyinghui costriskassessmentforrenovatingoldneighborhoodofepcprojectsinchinausingsembntmeemmethod
AT litian costriskassessmentforrenovatingoldneighborhoodofepcprojectsinchinausingsembntmeemmethod