Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.

Rationally configuring the capacity of the electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system is conducive to improving its economy and energy utilization efficiency. In view of the dual effects of the uncertainties of energy supply and demand in system configuration on power supply reliabi...

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Main Authors: Tianhe Sun, Runqi Sun, Xiaoyi Qian, Baoshi Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0320250
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author Tianhe Sun
Runqi Sun
Xiaoyi Qian
Baoshi Wang
author_facet Tianhe Sun
Runqi Sun
Xiaoyi Qian
Baoshi Wang
author_sort Tianhe Sun
collection DOAJ
description Rationally configuring the capacity of the electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system is conducive to improving its economy and energy utilization efficiency. In view of the dual effects of the uncertainties of energy supply and demand in system configuration on power supply reliability and wind power consumption, a min-max-min two-stage robust optimization configuration model aiming at the minimum sum of system investment and operating cost is established for achieving an optimal capacity configuration of multi-vector technologies involved in it. On the basis of typical scenarios, a box-type uncertainty set independent of a probability distribution is used to describe the uncertainty of wind power and demand and the robustness constraint is formed. An innovative parameter, named the uncertainty adjustment parameter, is introduced into the box-type uncertainty set to avoid sacrificing economic benefits caused by too conservative configuration scheme. In this paper, the column and constraint generation algorithm and strong duality theory are used to decompose the original problem into the linearized master problem and subproblem, which can improve the solving speed. Finally, an integrated energy system in the north of China is taken as a case study. The results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively addresses the uncertainty problems of wind power and demand, leading to improved reliability and wind power integration performance. By changing the uncertainty adjustment parameter, the conservativeness of the configuration scheme can be flexibly adjusted. The effectiveness and applicability of the proposed model and solution algorithm are verified.
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spelling doaj-art-c438308285bf486eb574e8404164546e2025-08-20T02:30:09ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01204e032025010.1371/journal.pone.0320250Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.Tianhe SunRunqi SunXiaoyi QianBaoshi WangRationally configuring the capacity of the electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system is conducive to improving its economy and energy utilization efficiency. In view of the dual effects of the uncertainties of energy supply and demand in system configuration on power supply reliability and wind power consumption, a min-max-min two-stage robust optimization configuration model aiming at the minimum sum of system investment and operating cost is established for achieving an optimal capacity configuration of multi-vector technologies involved in it. On the basis of typical scenarios, a box-type uncertainty set independent of a probability distribution is used to describe the uncertainty of wind power and demand and the robustness constraint is formed. An innovative parameter, named the uncertainty adjustment parameter, is introduced into the box-type uncertainty set to avoid sacrificing economic benefits caused by too conservative configuration scheme. In this paper, the column and constraint generation algorithm and strong duality theory are used to decompose the original problem into the linearized master problem and subproblem, which can improve the solving speed. Finally, an integrated energy system in the north of China is taken as a case study. The results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively addresses the uncertainty problems of wind power and demand, leading to improved reliability and wind power integration performance. By changing the uncertainty adjustment parameter, the conservativeness of the configuration scheme can be flexibly adjusted. The effectiveness and applicability of the proposed model and solution algorithm are verified.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0320250
spellingShingle Tianhe Sun
Runqi Sun
Xiaoyi Qian
Baoshi Wang
Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
PLoS ONE
title Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
title_full Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
title_fullStr Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
title_full_unstemmed Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
title_short Capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply-demand uncertainties.
title_sort capacity configuration optimization of electricity heat hydrogen regional integrated energy system considering supply demand uncertainties
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0320250
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AT xiaoyiqian capacityconfigurationoptimizationofelectricityheathydrogenregionalintegratedenergysystemconsideringsupplydemanduncertainties
AT baoshiwang capacityconfigurationoptimizationofelectricityheathydrogenregionalintegratedenergysystemconsideringsupplydemanduncertainties