Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty

This article presents a Generation Expansion Model of the power system taking into account the operational constraints and the uncertainty of long-term electricity demand projections. The model is based on a discretization of the load duration curve and explicitly considers that power plant ramping...

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Main Authors: P. Deossa, K. De Vos, G. Deconinck, J. Espinosa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/3424129
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author P. Deossa
K. De Vos
G. Deconinck
J. Espinosa
author_facet P. Deossa
K. De Vos
G. Deconinck
J. Espinosa
author_sort P. Deossa
collection DOAJ
description This article presents a Generation Expansion Model of the power system taking into account the operational constraints and the uncertainty of long-term electricity demand projections. The model is based on a discretization of the load duration curve and explicitly considers that power plant ramping capabilities must meet demand variations. A model predictive control method is used to improve the long-term planning decisions while considering the uncertainty of demand projections. The model presented in this paper allows integrating technical constraints and uncertainty in the simulations, improving the accuracy of the results, while maintaining feasible computational time. Results are tested over three scenarios based on load data of an energy retailer in Colombia.
format Article
id doaj-art-c36e1602ce8f4fa6a2d73a12ad290a86
institution OA Journals
issn 1110-757X
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language English
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Applied Mathematics
spelling doaj-art-c36e1602ce8f4fa6a2d73a12ad290a862025-08-20T02:18:55ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422017-01-01201710.1155/2017/34241293424129Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand UncertaintyP. Deossa0K. De Vos1G. Deconinck2J. Espinosa3GAUNAL, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Carrera 80 No. 65-223, Medellin, ColombiaELECTA/EnergyVille, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Kasteelpark Arenberg 10, 3001 Leuven, BelgiumELECTA/EnergyVille, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Kasteelpark Arenberg 10, 3001 Leuven, BelgiumGAUNAL, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Carrera 80 No. 65-223, Medellin, ColombiaThis article presents a Generation Expansion Model of the power system taking into account the operational constraints and the uncertainty of long-term electricity demand projections. The model is based on a discretization of the load duration curve and explicitly considers that power plant ramping capabilities must meet demand variations. A model predictive control method is used to improve the long-term planning decisions while considering the uncertainty of demand projections. The model presented in this paper allows integrating technical constraints and uncertainty in the simulations, improving the accuracy of the results, while maintaining feasible computational time. Results are tested over three scenarios based on load data of an energy retailer in Colombia.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/3424129
spellingShingle P. Deossa
K. De Vos
G. Deconinck
J. Espinosa
Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
title_full Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
title_fullStr Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
title_short Generation Expansion Models including Technical Constraints and Demand Uncertainty
title_sort generation expansion models including technical constraints and demand uncertainty
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/3424129
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AT kdevos generationexpansionmodelsincludingtechnicalconstraintsanddemanduncertainty
AT gdeconinck generationexpansionmodelsincludingtechnicalconstraintsanddemanduncertainty
AT jespinosa generationexpansionmodelsincludingtechnicalconstraintsanddemanduncertainty