Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis

The current literature does not offer a quantitative test of the irrational behaviour of people, especially taking a proxy for irrationality with reference to an economic activity. This paper examines the role of religious believers in carrying out economic activities. The form of stock market effic...

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Main Author: Chamil W. Senarathne
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu 2020-01-01
Series:Nauki o Finansach
Online Access:https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/fins/article/view/229
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author Chamil W. Senarathne
author_facet Chamil W. Senarathne
author_sort Chamil W. Senarathne
collection DOAJ
description The current literature does not offer a quantitative test of the irrational behaviour of people, especially taking a proxy for irrationality with reference to an economic activity. This paper examines the role of religious believers in carrying out economic activities. The form of stock market efficiency has been taken as a proxy for testing the null hypothesis that religious believers are irrational on average. The findings suggest that equity markets in religious countries are inefficient at 'weak form' level. This provides prima facie evidence for the hypothesis that religious believers are irrational on average. As such, the equity price changes of these stock markets can be forecast on the basis of past patterns. Poor income level and education are the main causes for developing irrationality. As these irrationalities cost economies, the policymakers should design and implement more robust policies and guidelines for poverty alleviation and the enrichment of education at country level.(original abstract)
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issn 2449-9811
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publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
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series Nauki o Finansach
spelling doaj-art-c2f4d5d24ee54a999972ec2c874d5f832025-08-20T01:52:14ZengWydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we WrocławiuNauki o Finansach2449-98112020-01-01251230Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market HypothesisChamil W. Senarathne0Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, ChinaThe current literature does not offer a quantitative test of the irrational behaviour of people, especially taking a proxy for irrationality with reference to an economic activity. This paper examines the role of religious believers in carrying out economic activities. The form of stock market efficiency has been taken as a proxy for testing the null hypothesis that religious believers are irrational on average. The findings suggest that equity markets in religious countries are inefficient at 'weak form' level. This provides prima facie evidence for the hypothesis that religious believers are irrational on average. As such, the equity price changes of these stock markets can be forecast on the basis of past patterns. Poor income level and education are the main causes for developing irrationality. As these irrationalities cost economies, the policymakers should design and implement more robust policies and guidelines for poverty alleviation and the enrichment of education at country level.(original abstract)https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/fins/article/view/229
spellingShingle Chamil W. Senarathne
Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
Nauki o Finansach
title Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
title_full Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
title_fullStr Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
title_full_unstemmed Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
title_short Are Religious Believers Irrational: A Direct Test from an Efficient Market Hypothesis
title_sort are religious believers irrational a direct test from an efficient market hypothesis
url https://journals.ue.wroc.pl/fins/article/view/229
work_keys_str_mv AT chamilwsenarathne arereligiousbelieversirrationaladirecttestfromanefficientmarkethypothesis