Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors
At present, China's clean and low-carbon energy transformation mainly faces four risks: sustainable supply, sociality, geography, and sanctions. This article establishes a risk assessment model for clean and low-carbon energy transformation and arranges 11 superposed scenarios of risk factors a...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | zho |
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State Grid Energy Research Institute
2024-03-01
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| Series: | Zhongguo dianli |
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| Online Access: | https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202309122 |
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| author | Yinan WANG Jing LU Xingtong CHEN Hongcai DAI |
| author_facet | Yinan WANG Jing LU Xingtong CHEN Hongcai DAI |
| author_sort | Yinan WANG |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | At present, China's clean and low-carbon energy transformation mainly faces four risks: sustainable supply, sociality, geography, and sanctions. This article establishes a risk assessment model for clean and low-carbon energy transformation and arranges 11 superposed scenarios of risk factors according to the combinations of "superposition of two factors, three factors, and all factors". Based on the analytic hierarchy process, the probability and impact degree of various scenarios in clean and low-carbon energy transformation are studied. On this basis, power grid enterprises are suggested as backbone enterprises serving clean and low-carbon energy transformation and promoting new power system construction. It is necessary to moderately advance the construction of power grids and the development of regulatory resources, promote the construction of risk warning, policy dynamic evaluation, and key raw materials for clean and low-carbon energy transformation, as well as research and development reserve mechanisms of "bottleneck" technology, and focus on preventing the impact of dual endogenous risks and dual external risks. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-c2dc462025e447a994cd8c1766d402cf |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 1004-9649 |
| language | zho |
| publishDate | 2024-03-01 |
| publisher | State Grid Energy Research Institute |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Zhongguo dianli |
| spelling | doaj-art-c2dc462025e447a994cd8c1766d402cf2025-08-20T02:47:34ZzhoState Grid Energy Research InstituteZhongguo dianli1004-96492024-03-0157318318910.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202309122zgdl-57-4-wangyinanRisk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple FactorsYinan WANG0Jing LU1Xingtong CHEN2Hongcai DAI3State Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, ChinaState Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, ChinaState Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, ChinaState Grid Energy Research Institute Co., Ltd., Beijing 102209, ChinaAt present, China's clean and low-carbon energy transformation mainly faces four risks: sustainable supply, sociality, geography, and sanctions. This article establishes a risk assessment model for clean and low-carbon energy transformation and arranges 11 superposed scenarios of risk factors according to the combinations of "superposition of two factors, three factors, and all factors". Based on the analytic hierarchy process, the probability and impact degree of various scenarios in clean and low-carbon energy transformation are studied. On this basis, power grid enterprises are suggested as backbone enterprises serving clean and low-carbon energy transformation and promoting new power system construction. It is necessary to moderately advance the construction of power grids and the development of regulatory resources, promote the construction of risk warning, policy dynamic evaluation, and key raw materials for clean and low-carbon energy transformation, as well as research and development reserve mechanisms of "bottleneck" technology, and focus on preventing the impact of dual endogenous risks and dual external risks.https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202309122energy transformationclean and low-carbonmultiple factorssuperimposed scenariosrisk assessment |
| spellingShingle | Yinan WANG Jing LU Xingtong CHEN Hongcai DAI Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors Zhongguo dianli energy transformation clean and low-carbon multiple factors superimposed scenarios risk assessment |
| title | Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors |
| title_full | Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors |
| title_fullStr | Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors |
| title_short | Risk Assessment of Clean and Low-Carbon Energy Transformation Considering Superimposed Scenario of Multiple Factors |
| title_sort | risk assessment of clean and low carbon energy transformation considering superimposed scenario of multiple factors |
| topic | energy transformation clean and low-carbon multiple factors superimposed scenarios risk assessment |
| url | https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202309122 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT yinanwang riskassessmentofcleanandlowcarbonenergytransformationconsideringsuperimposedscenarioofmultiplefactors AT jinglu riskassessmentofcleanandlowcarbonenergytransformationconsideringsuperimposedscenarioofmultiplefactors AT xingtongchen riskassessmentofcleanandlowcarbonenergytransformationconsideringsuperimposedscenarioofmultiplefactors AT hongcaidai riskassessmentofcleanandlowcarbonenergytransformationconsideringsuperimposedscenarioofmultiplefactors |