Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study

IntroductionThis study examines the interdependencies among different chronic pain locations and their relationships with age and gender, critical for effective clinical strategies.MethodsA Bayesian network approach was applied to 2,400 adult participants (18+ years; 50% male, 50% female) from the Q...

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Main Authors: Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji, Dhafer Malouche
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Pain Research
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpain.2025.1573465/full
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author Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Dhafer Malouche
Dhafer Malouche
author_facet Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Dhafer Malouche
Dhafer Malouche
author_sort Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionThis study examines the interdependencies among different chronic pain locations and their relationships with age and gender, critical for effective clinical strategies.MethodsA Bayesian network approach was applied to 2,400 adult participants (18+ years; 50% male, 50% female) from the Qatar Biobank (QBB). Participants were categorized into young (18–35 years, 40.9%), middle-aged (36–60 years, 50.6%), and seniors (61+ years, 8.5%).ResultsThe model identified direct and indirect associations among pain locations and demographic factors, quantified by odds ratios (ORs). Younger females had the highest probability of headaches or migraines (48.6%) compared to younger males (31.2%), with probabilities decreasing across age (OR 1.917; 95% CI 1.609–2.284). Hand pain strongly correlated with hip pain (OR 8.691; 95% CI 6.074–12.434) and neck or shoulder pain (OR 4.451; 95% CI 3.302–6.000). Back pain was a key predictor of systemic pain, with a 37.9% probability of generalized pain when combined with hand pain (OR 7.682; 95% CI 5.293–11.149), dropping to 6.6% for back pain alone. Age, back pain, and foot pain collectively influenced knee pain, which reached 72.7% in older individuals with foot and back pain (OR 4.759; 95% CI 3.704–6.114).DiscussionThese Bayesian network parameters explicitly reveal probabilistic interdependencies among pain locations, suggesting that targeted interventions for key anatomical regions could effectively mitigate broader chronic pain networks. The model also elucidates how demographic predispositions influence downstream pain patterns, providing a clear and actionable framework for personalized chronic pain management strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-c2d3050d475d43b0bc3069857fc156562025-08-20T02:29:20ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pain Research2673-561X2025-05-01610.3389/fpain.2025.15734651573465Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank studyAisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji0Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji1Dhafer Malouche2Dhafer Malouche3College of Medicine, Qatar University, Doha, QatarClinical Translational Science Research Group, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, QatarClinical Translational Science Research Group, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, QatarDepartment of Mathematicsand Statistics, College of Arts and Sciences, Qatar University, Doha, QatarIntroductionThis study examines the interdependencies among different chronic pain locations and their relationships with age and gender, critical for effective clinical strategies.MethodsA Bayesian network approach was applied to 2,400 adult participants (18+ years; 50% male, 50% female) from the Qatar Biobank (QBB). Participants were categorized into young (18–35 years, 40.9%), middle-aged (36–60 years, 50.6%), and seniors (61+ years, 8.5%).ResultsThe model identified direct and indirect associations among pain locations and demographic factors, quantified by odds ratios (ORs). Younger females had the highest probability of headaches or migraines (48.6%) compared to younger males (31.2%), with probabilities decreasing across age (OR 1.917; 95% CI 1.609–2.284). Hand pain strongly correlated with hip pain (OR 8.691; 95% CI 6.074–12.434) and neck or shoulder pain (OR 4.451; 95% CI 3.302–6.000). Back pain was a key predictor of systemic pain, with a 37.9% probability of generalized pain when combined with hand pain (OR 7.682; 95% CI 5.293–11.149), dropping to 6.6% for back pain alone. Age, back pain, and foot pain collectively influenced knee pain, which reached 72.7% in older individuals with foot and back pain (OR 4.759; 95% CI 3.704–6.114).DiscussionThese Bayesian network parameters explicitly reveal probabilistic interdependencies among pain locations, suggesting that targeted interventions for key anatomical regions could effectively mitigate broader chronic pain networks. The model also elucidates how demographic predispositions influence downstream pain patterns, providing a clear and actionable framework for personalized chronic pain management strategies.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpain.2025.1573465/fullBayesian networkQatar Biobank (QBB)pain interdependenciesconditional probabilitiessystemic painprobabilistic modeling
spellingShingle Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Aisha Ahmad M. A. Al-Khinji
Dhafer Malouche
Dhafer Malouche
Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
Frontiers in Pain Research
Bayesian network
Qatar Biobank (QBB)
pain interdependencies
conditional probabilities
systemic pain
probabilistic modeling
title Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
title_full Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
title_fullStr Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
title_full_unstemmed Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
title_short Modeling chronic pain interconnections using Bayesian networks: insights from the Qatar Biobank study
title_sort modeling chronic pain interconnections using bayesian networks insights from the qatar biobank study
topic Bayesian network
Qatar Biobank (QBB)
pain interdependencies
conditional probabilities
systemic pain
probabilistic modeling
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpain.2025.1573465/full
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