Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?

IntroductionDecision-making based on AI can be challenging, especially when considering the uncertainty associated with AI predictions. Visualizing uncertainty in AI refers to techniques that use visual cues to represent the level of confidence or uncertainty in an AI model's outputs, such as p...

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Main Authors: Jonatan Reyes, Anil Ufuk Batmaz, Marta Kersten-Oertel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Computer Science
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcomp.2025.1464348/full
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author Jonatan Reyes
Anil Ufuk Batmaz
Marta Kersten-Oertel
author_facet Jonatan Reyes
Anil Ufuk Batmaz
Marta Kersten-Oertel
author_sort Jonatan Reyes
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionDecision-making based on AI can be challenging, especially when considering the uncertainty associated with AI predictions. Visualizing uncertainty in AI refers to techniques that use visual cues to represent the level of confidence or uncertainty in an AI model's outputs, such as predictions or decisions. This study aims to investigate the impact of visualizing uncertainty on decision-making and trust in AI.MethodsWe conducted a user study with 147 participants, utilizing static classic gaming scenarios as a proxy for human-AI collaboration in decision-making. The study measured changes in decisions, trust in AI, and decision-making confidence when uncertainty was visualized in a continuous format compared to a binary output of the AI model.ResultsOur findings indicate that visualizing uncertainty significantly enhances trust in AI for 58% of participants with negative attitudes toward AI. Additionally, 31% of these participants found uncertainty visualization to be useful. The size of the uncertainty visualization was identified as the method that had the most impact on participants' trust in AI and their confidence in their decisions. Furthermore, we observed a strong association between participants' gaming experience and changes in decision-making when uncertainty was visualized, as well as a strong link between trust in AI and individual attitudes toward AI.DiscussionThese results suggest that visualizing uncertainty can improve trust in AI, particularly among individuals with negative attitudes toward AI. The findings also have important implications for the design of human-AI decision-support systems, offering insights into how uncertainty can be visualized to enhance decision-making and user confidence.
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spelling doaj-art-c2aa68c1fa504453bf51920a741df7072025-02-07T06:49:31ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Computer Science2624-98982025-02-01710.3389/fcomp.2025.14643481464348Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?Jonatan ReyesAnil Ufuk BatmazMarta Kersten-OertelIntroductionDecision-making based on AI can be challenging, especially when considering the uncertainty associated with AI predictions. Visualizing uncertainty in AI refers to techniques that use visual cues to represent the level of confidence or uncertainty in an AI model's outputs, such as predictions or decisions. This study aims to investigate the impact of visualizing uncertainty on decision-making and trust in AI.MethodsWe conducted a user study with 147 participants, utilizing static classic gaming scenarios as a proxy for human-AI collaboration in decision-making. The study measured changes in decisions, trust in AI, and decision-making confidence when uncertainty was visualized in a continuous format compared to a binary output of the AI model.ResultsOur findings indicate that visualizing uncertainty significantly enhances trust in AI for 58% of participants with negative attitudes toward AI. Additionally, 31% of these participants found uncertainty visualization to be useful. The size of the uncertainty visualization was identified as the method that had the most impact on participants' trust in AI and their confidence in their decisions. Furthermore, we observed a strong association between participants' gaming experience and changes in decision-making when uncertainty was visualized, as well as a strong link between trust in AI and individual attitudes toward AI.DiscussionThese results suggest that visualizing uncertainty can improve trust in AI, particularly among individuals with negative attitudes toward AI. The findings also have important implications for the design of human-AI decision-support systems, offering insights into how uncertainty can be visualized to enhance decision-making and user confidence.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcomp.2025.1464348/fulluncertainty visualizationAI uncertaintydecision-makinghuman-AItrustpsychology of players
spellingShingle Jonatan Reyes
Anil Ufuk Batmaz
Marta Kersten-Oertel
Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
Frontiers in Computer Science
uncertainty visualization
AI uncertainty
decision-making
human-AI
trust
psychology of players
title Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
title_full Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
title_fullStr Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
title_full_unstemmed Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
title_short Trusting AI: does uncertainty visualization affect decision-making?
title_sort trusting ai does uncertainty visualization affect decision making
topic uncertainty visualization
AI uncertainty
decision-making
human-AI
trust
psychology of players
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcomp.2025.1464348/full
work_keys_str_mv AT jonatanreyes trustingaidoesuncertaintyvisualizationaffectdecisionmaking
AT anilufukbatmaz trustingaidoesuncertaintyvisualizationaffectdecisionmaking
AT martakerstenoertel trustingaidoesuncertaintyvisualizationaffectdecisionmaking