Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation

Crowd monitoring systems are more and more used to support crowd management organizations. Currently, counting systems are often used to provide quantitative insights into the pedestrian traffic state, since they are fairly easy to install and the accuracy is reasonably good under normal conditions....

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Main Authors: D. C. Duives, W. Daamen, S. P. Hoogendoorn
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/7328074
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author D. C. Duives
W. Daamen
S. P. Hoogendoorn
author_facet D. C. Duives
W. Daamen
S. P. Hoogendoorn
author_sort D. C. Duives
collection DOAJ
description Crowd monitoring systems are more and more used to support crowd management organizations. Currently, counting systems are often used to provide quantitative insights into the pedestrian traffic state, since they are fairly easy to install and the accuracy is reasonably good under normal conditions. However, there are no sensor systems that are 100% accurate. Detection errors might have severe consequences for the density state estimation at large squares. The consequences of these errors for pedestrian state estimation have not yet been determined. This paper studies the impact of one specific type of detection error on the functionality of counting camera systems for density state estimation, namely, a randomly occurring “false negative” detection error. The impact is determined via two tracks, a theoretical track and a simulation track. The latter track studies the distribution of the cumulative number of pedestrians after 24 hours for three stylized cases by means of Monte Carlo simulations. This paper finds that counting camera systems, which have a detection error that is not correlated with the flow rate, provide a reasonably good estimation of the density within an area. At the same time, if the detection error is correlated with the flow rate, counting camera systems should only be used in the situation where symmetric demand patterns are expected.
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spelling doaj-art-c268aae613ca4643a097259fc195602d2025-02-03T01:31:02ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/73280747328074Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State EstimationD. C. Duives0W. Daamen1S. P. Hoogendoorn2Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Department of Transport & Planning, Delft University of Technology, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, NetherlandsCivil Engineering and Geosciences, Department of Transport & Planning, Delft University of Technology, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, NetherlandsCivil Engineering and Geosciences, Department of Transport & Planning, Delft University of Technology, Stevinweg 1, 2628 CN, Delft, NetherlandsCrowd monitoring systems are more and more used to support crowd management organizations. Currently, counting systems are often used to provide quantitative insights into the pedestrian traffic state, since they are fairly easy to install and the accuracy is reasonably good under normal conditions. However, there are no sensor systems that are 100% accurate. Detection errors might have severe consequences for the density state estimation at large squares. The consequences of these errors for pedestrian state estimation have not yet been determined. This paper studies the impact of one specific type of detection error on the functionality of counting camera systems for density state estimation, namely, a randomly occurring “false negative” detection error. The impact is determined via two tracks, a theoretical track and a simulation track. The latter track studies the distribution of the cumulative number of pedestrians after 24 hours for three stylized cases by means of Monte Carlo simulations. This paper finds that counting camera systems, which have a detection error that is not correlated with the flow rate, provide a reasonably good estimation of the density within an area. At the same time, if the detection error is correlated with the flow rate, counting camera systems should only be used in the situation where symmetric demand patterns are expected.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/7328074
spellingShingle D. C. Duives
W. Daamen
S. P. Hoogendoorn
Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
title_full Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
title_fullStr Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
title_full_unstemmed Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
title_short Monitoring the Number of Pedestrians in an Area: The Applicability of Counting Systems for Density State Estimation
title_sort monitoring the number of pedestrians in an area the applicability of counting systems for density state estimation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/7328074
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