Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution

Abstract Globalization has led to an increasing geographical separation of primary input, consumption and production, and consequently to a substantial transboundary transfer of air pollution and associated health burdens through international trade. Here, we develop an integrated framework to deter...

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Main Authors: Ruifei Li, Yu Luo, Xu Zhu, Jin Zhang, Pei Hua, Zhenyu Wang, Wenyu Yang, Qiuwen Chen, Hui Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004814
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author Ruifei Li
Yu Luo
Xu Zhu
Jin Zhang
Pei Hua
Zhenyu Wang
Wenyu Yang
Qiuwen Chen
Hui Li
author_facet Ruifei Li
Yu Luo
Xu Zhu
Jin Zhang
Pei Hua
Zhenyu Wang
Wenyu Yang
Qiuwen Chen
Hui Li
author_sort Ruifei Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Globalization has led to an increasing geographical separation of primary input, consumption and production, and consequently to a substantial transboundary transfer of air pollution and associated health burdens through international trade. Here, we develop an integrated framework to determine the consumption‐ and income‐based global atmospheric emissions, and quantify the drivers of associated health impacts from 2000 to 2015, and evaluate the impacts of international trade on PM2.5‐related deaths by hypothetical scenarios. Results show that consumption transferred more primary PM2.5 emissions (2.2 Mt, 23.5%) and caused more additional mortality (241,000 deaths) through international trade than primary input (emission: 1.1 Mt, 12.3%, mortality: 167,000 deaths) in 2015. Top three key sectors contributed to more than half of emission flow driven by consumption (commercial, construction, electrical and machinery) and primary inputs (commercial, petroleum, and mining). Health benefits of reduced emissions intensity, which avoided 1.4 million deaths, were largely offset by not only increases in consumption and primary input levels but also population vulnerability, resulting in the increase in mortality (0.8 million) from 2000 to 2015. Changes in primary input (1.2 million deaths) contributed more to the rise in health burdens than changes in consumption (1.0 million deaths). Hypothetical scenarios show that the participation of Western Europe in international trade contributed to the reduction in global health burden, while the USA gained health benefits from international trade. Accordingly, our findings provide profound suggestions for future policy decisions from different perspectives and demonstrate that optimizing global supply chain through cooperation would mitigate the PM2.5‐related health impacts.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2328-4277
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spelling doaj-art-c16c17427fbc44bba39ab23a993a4cdb2025-01-28T15:40:38ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772025-01-01131n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004814Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air PollutionRuifei Li0Yu Luo1Xu Zhu2Jin Zhang3Pei Hua4Zhenyu Wang5Wenyu Yang6Qiuwen Chen7Hui Li8School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Environmental and Chemical Engineering Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Environmental and Chemical Engineering Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaSchool of Geography South China Normal University Guangzhou ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Chemical Pollution and Environmental Safety & MOE Key Laboratory of Theoretical Chemistry of Environment SCNU Environmental Research Institute School of Environment South China Normal University Guangzhou ChinaDepartment of Catchment Hydrology Helmholtz‐Centre for Environmental Research ‐ UFZ Halle/Saale GermanyInstitute for Ecological Research and Pollution Control of Plateau Lakes Yunnan University Kunming ChinaDepartment of Hydrology and Water Resources Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute Nanjing ChinaSchool of Environmental and Chemical Engineering Shanghai University Shanghai ChinaAbstract Globalization has led to an increasing geographical separation of primary input, consumption and production, and consequently to a substantial transboundary transfer of air pollution and associated health burdens through international trade. Here, we develop an integrated framework to determine the consumption‐ and income‐based global atmospheric emissions, and quantify the drivers of associated health impacts from 2000 to 2015, and evaluate the impacts of international trade on PM2.5‐related deaths by hypothetical scenarios. Results show that consumption transferred more primary PM2.5 emissions (2.2 Mt, 23.5%) and caused more additional mortality (241,000 deaths) through international trade than primary input (emission: 1.1 Mt, 12.3%, mortality: 167,000 deaths) in 2015. Top three key sectors contributed to more than half of emission flow driven by consumption (commercial, construction, electrical and machinery) and primary inputs (commercial, petroleum, and mining). Health benefits of reduced emissions intensity, which avoided 1.4 million deaths, were largely offset by not only increases in consumption and primary input levels but also population vulnerability, resulting in the increase in mortality (0.8 million) from 2000 to 2015. Changes in primary input (1.2 million deaths) contributed more to the rise in health burdens than changes in consumption (1.0 million deaths). Hypothetical scenarios show that the participation of Western Europe in international trade contributed to the reduction in global health burden, while the USA gained health benefits from international trade. Accordingly, our findings provide profound suggestions for future policy decisions from different perspectives and demonstrate that optimizing global supply chain through cooperation would mitigate the PM2.5‐related health impacts.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004814air pollutionhealth burdensconsumption and income‐basedsocioeconomic driversinternational trade
spellingShingle Ruifei Li
Yu Luo
Xu Zhu
Jin Zhang
Pei Hua
Zhenyu Wang
Wenyu Yang
Qiuwen Chen
Hui Li
Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
Earth's Future
air pollution
health burdens
consumption and income‐based
socioeconomic drivers
international trade
title Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
title_full Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
title_fullStr Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
title_full_unstemmed Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
title_short Increasing Health Burdens Driven by Global Trade Induced Air Pollution
title_sort increasing health burdens driven by global trade induced air pollution
topic air pollution
health burdens
consumption and income‐based
socioeconomic drivers
international trade
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004814
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AT peihua increasinghealthburdensdrivenbyglobaltradeinducedairpollution
AT zhenyuwang increasinghealthburdensdrivenbyglobaltradeinducedairpollution
AT wenyuyang increasinghealthburdensdrivenbyglobaltradeinducedairpollution
AT qiuwenchen increasinghealthburdensdrivenbyglobaltradeinducedairpollution
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