Relationships Between Oat Phenotypes and UAV Multispectral Imagery Under Different Water Deficit Conditions by Structural Equation Modelling

The prediction of soil moisture conditions using multispectral data from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) has advantages over ground measurements in terms of costs and monitoring range. However, the prediction accuracy for moisture conditions using spectral data alone is low. In this study, relations...

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Main Authors: Yayang Feng, Guoshuai Wang, Jun Wang, Hexiang Zheng, Xiangyang Miao, Xiulu Sun, Peng Li, Yan Li, Yanhui Jia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Agronomy
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/15/6/1389
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Summary:The prediction of soil moisture conditions using multispectral data from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) has advantages over ground measurements in terms of costs and monitoring range. However, the prediction accuracy for moisture conditions using spectral data alone is low. In this study, relationships between water deficits and phenotypic characteristics in oats were evaluated and used to develop a UAV multispectral-based water prediction model. The vegetation indices NDRE (Normalized Difference Red Edge), CIG (Chlorophyll Index), and MCARI (Modified Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index) were highly correlated with oat yield. Based on a multipath analysis in the structural equation modeling framework, irrigation (<i>p</i> < 0.01), leaf area index (LAI) (<i>p</i> < 0.001), and SPAD (<i>p</i> < 0.001) had direct positive effects on NDRE. Three distinct machine learning approaches—linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN) were employed to establish predictive models between the Normalized Difference Red Edge Index (NDRE) and soil water content (SWC). The linear regression model showed moderate correlation (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.533). Machine learning approaches demonstrated markedly superior performance (RF: <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.828; ANN: <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.810). Nonlinear machine learning algorithms (RF and ANN) significantly outperform conventional linear regression in estimating SWC from spectral vegetation indices.
ISSN:2073-4395