China’s future food demand forecast based on provincial diets and shared socio-economic pathways
Abstract Building on the vast heterogeneity in dietary practices and population size across China, which has contributed to profound regional disparities in food demand, this study incorporated provincial-level dietary preferences and energy needs across different age groups, genders, and residentia...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Scientific Data |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05485-9 |
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| Summary: | Abstract Building on the vast heterogeneity in dietary practices and population size across China, which has contributed to profound regional disparities in food demand, this study incorporated provincial-level dietary preferences and energy needs across different age groups, genders, and residential statuses to project future regional dietary patterns and food demand in China across the five shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios. The projected diets were proven to be consistent with Chinese dietary practices and fulfilled macronutritrient requirements, compared to dietary guidelines from the EAT-Lancet Commission, the Chinese Nutrition Society, and major peer studies. The dataset covers raw grain demand for 13 major food categories—including rice, wheat, maize, highland barley, tubers, beans, pork, beef, mutton, poultry, aquatic products, eggs, and dairy products—at the provincial level, spanning 2020 to 2100. Diet directly relates to food security, human health, and environmental sustainability. The developed dataset provides detailed demand information at both spatial and food-specific levels, offering valuable insights for conducting food management strategies tailored to regional needs and optimizing resource allocation strategies. |
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| ISSN: | 2052-4463 |