Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points

The level of ground shaking, as determined by the peak ground acceleration (PGA), can be used to analyze seismic hazard at a certain location and is crucial for constructing earthquake-resistant structures. Predicting the PGA immediately after an earthquake occurs allows for the issuing of a warning...

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Main Authors: Mona Mohammed, Omar M. Saad, Arabi Keshk, Hatem M. Ahmed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2025-04-01
Series:Earthquake Science
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674451924001150
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author Mona Mohammed
Omar M. Saad
Arabi Keshk
Hatem M. Ahmed
author_facet Mona Mohammed
Omar M. Saad
Arabi Keshk
Hatem M. Ahmed
author_sort Mona Mohammed
collection DOAJ
description The level of ground shaking, as determined by the peak ground acceleration (PGA), can be used to analyze seismic hazard at a certain location and is crucial for constructing earthquake-resistant structures. Predicting the PGA immediately after an earthquake occurs allows for the issuing of a warning by an earthquake early warning system. In this study, we propose a deep learning model, ConvMixer, to predict the PGA recorded by weak-motion velocity seismometers in Japan. We use 5-s three-component seismograms, from 2 s before until 3 s after the P-wave arrival time of the earthquake. Our dataset comprised more than 50,000 single-station waveforms recorded by 10 seismic stations in the K-NET, Kiki-NET, and Hi-Net networks between 2004 and 2023. The proposed ConvMixer is a patch-based model that extracts global features from input seismic data and predicts the PGA of an earthquake by combining depth and pointwise convolutions. The proposed ConvMixer network had a mean absolute error of 2.143 when applied to the test set and outperformed benchmark deep learning models. In addition, the proposed ConvMixer demonstrated the ability to predict the PGA at the corresponding station site based on 1-second waveforms obtained immediately after the arrival time of the P-wave.
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spelling doaj-art-c0903cdfe7fb4f57a9a0002f2af1288c2025-08-20T02:03:46ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Earthquake Science1867-87772025-04-0138212613510.1016/j.eqs.2024.11.005Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey pointsMona Mohammed0Omar M. Saad1Arabi Keshk2Hatem M. Ahmed3National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), Cairo 11511, Egypt; Corresponding author.National Research Institute of Astronomy and Geophysics (NRIAG), Cairo 11511, Egypt; Division of Physical Science and Engineering, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal 23955-6900, Saudi ArabiaDelta Technological University, Menoufia 32684, EgyptFaculty of Computers and Information, Menoufia University, Menoufia 32512, EgyptThe level of ground shaking, as determined by the peak ground acceleration (PGA), can be used to analyze seismic hazard at a certain location and is crucial for constructing earthquake-resistant structures. Predicting the PGA immediately after an earthquake occurs allows for the issuing of a warning by an earthquake early warning system. In this study, we propose a deep learning model, ConvMixer, to predict the PGA recorded by weak-motion velocity seismometers in Japan. We use 5-s three-component seismograms, from 2 s before until 3 s after the P-wave arrival time of the earthquake. Our dataset comprised more than 50,000 single-station waveforms recorded by 10 seismic stations in the K-NET, Kiki-NET, and Hi-Net networks between 2004 and 2023. The proposed ConvMixer is a patch-based model that extracts global features from input seismic data and predicts the PGA of an earthquake by combining depth and pointwise convolutions. The proposed ConvMixer network had a mean absolute error of 2.143 when applied to the test set and outperformed benchmark deep learning models. In addition, the proposed ConvMixer demonstrated the ability to predict the PGA at the corresponding station site based on 1-second waveforms obtained immediately after the arrival time of the P-wave.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674451924001150peak ground acceleration (PGA)earthquake early warning system (EEWS)deep learning (DL)
spellingShingle Mona Mohammed
Omar M. Saad
Arabi Keshk
Hatem M. Ahmed
Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
Earthquake Science
peak ground acceleration (PGA)
earthquake early warning system (EEWS)
deep learning (DL)
title Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
title_full Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
title_fullStr Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
title_full_unstemmed Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
title_short Predicting peak ground acceleration using the ConvMixer networkKey points
title_sort predicting peak ground acceleration using the convmixer networkkey points
topic peak ground acceleration (PGA)
earthquake early warning system (EEWS)
deep learning (DL)
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674451924001150
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