Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges

Abstract As rising waters meet rising technologies, a new “flood-tech frontier” is emerging at the intersection of climate risk and digital innovation. Across many cities, especially, in the Global South, extreme weather events and rapid urbanization have turned flooding into a persistent crisis. In...

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Main Author: Johannes Bhanye
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2025-06-01
Series:Discover Global Society
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s44282-025-00190-9
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author Johannes Bhanye
author_facet Johannes Bhanye
author_sort Johannes Bhanye
collection DOAJ
description Abstract As rising waters meet rising technologies, a new “flood-tech frontier” is emerging at the intersection of climate risk and digital innovation. Across many cities, especially, in the Global South, extreme weather events and rapid urbanization have turned flooding into a persistent crisis. In this context weak infrastructure, informal settlements and limited governance capacities are also exacerbating vulnerabilities. In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has gained attention as a promising solution in flood risk management, offering capabilities in real-time prediction, risk assessment, decision support, and community engagement. Yet, scholarly discourse remains fragmented, overly technocentric, and insufficiently attuned to governance and justice concerns. This study presents a rapid systematic review of 20 peer-reviewed studies published between 2014 and 2024, focusing on how AI technologies are applied across the urban flood adaptation cycle: forecasting, vulnerability assessment, planning, response, and recovery, and the governance challenges that shape their effectiveness. The review identifies a diverse set of AI techniques, including machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), geospatial AI, and AIoT, used in both Global North and South cities. Findings reveal that while AI enhances predictive precision and speeds up decision-making, its effectiveness is highly context-dependent, constrained by data quality, model transparency, digital inequalities, and institutional readiness. The study introduces a socio-technical systems perspective that frames AI not as a neutral tool but as a governance actor embedded in systems of power, planning, and exclusion. Key limitations include the poor transferability of AI models across geographies, a lack of participatory design, and risks of algorithmic exclusion in already marginalized urban areas. The paper concludes by proposing a justice-oriented framework for AI governance in urban climate adaptation, one that integrates ethics, equity, and local engagement into the design and deployment of digital technologies. The review contributes to rethinking AI-driven urban flood adaptation not just as a technical challenge but as a political and governance frontier. It argues that building resilient cities requires more than smart systems, it demands just systems, especially for those most at risk. To this end, the paper calls for deeper integration of co-produced knowledge, adaptive planning, and climate justice principles at the flood-tech frontier.
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spelling doaj-art-c07d449f841f4804b5beafd859586ca42025-08-20T03:22:49ZengSpringerDiscover Global Society2731-96872025-06-013113110.1007/s44282-025-00190-9Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challengesJohannes Bhanye0African Climate and Development Initiative (ACDI), University of Cape TownAbstract As rising waters meet rising technologies, a new “flood-tech frontier” is emerging at the intersection of climate risk and digital innovation. Across many cities, especially, in the Global South, extreme weather events and rapid urbanization have turned flooding into a persistent crisis. In this context weak infrastructure, informal settlements and limited governance capacities are also exacerbating vulnerabilities. In recent years, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has gained attention as a promising solution in flood risk management, offering capabilities in real-time prediction, risk assessment, decision support, and community engagement. Yet, scholarly discourse remains fragmented, overly technocentric, and insufficiently attuned to governance and justice concerns. This study presents a rapid systematic review of 20 peer-reviewed studies published between 2014 and 2024, focusing on how AI technologies are applied across the urban flood adaptation cycle: forecasting, vulnerability assessment, planning, response, and recovery, and the governance challenges that shape their effectiveness. The review identifies a diverse set of AI techniques, including machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), geospatial AI, and AIoT, used in both Global North and South cities. Findings reveal that while AI enhances predictive precision and speeds up decision-making, its effectiveness is highly context-dependent, constrained by data quality, model transparency, digital inequalities, and institutional readiness. The study introduces a socio-technical systems perspective that frames AI not as a neutral tool but as a governance actor embedded in systems of power, planning, and exclusion. Key limitations include the poor transferability of AI models across geographies, a lack of participatory design, and risks of algorithmic exclusion in already marginalized urban areas. The paper concludes by proposing a justice-oriented framework for AI governance in urban climate adaptation, one that integrates ethics, equity, and local engagement into the design and deployment of digital technologies. The review contributes to rethinking AI-driven urban flood adaptation not just as a technical challenge but as a political and governance frontier. It argues that building resilient cities requires more than smart systems, it demands just systems, especially for those most at risk. To this end, the paper calls for deeper integration of co-produced knowledge, adaptive planning, and climate justice principles at the flood-tech frontier.https://doi.org/10.1007/s44282-025-00190-9Artificial IntelligenceFloodingClimate adaptationInformal SettlementsClimate ChangeDigital inequality
spellingShingle Johannes Bhanye
Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
Discover Global Society
Artificial Intelligence
Flooding
Climate adaptation
Informal Settlements
Climate Change
Digital inequality
title Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
title_full Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
title_fullStr Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
title_full_unstemmed Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
title_short Flood-tech frontiers: smart but just? A systematic review of AI-driven urban flood adaptation and  associated governance challenges
title_sort flood tech frontiers smart but just a systematic review of ai driven urban flood adaptation and associated governance challenges
topic Artificial Intelligence
Flooding
Climate adaptation
Informal Settlements
Climate Change
Digital inequality
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s44282-025-00190-9
work_keys_str_mv AT johannesbhanye floodtechfrontierssmartbutjustasystematicreviewofaidrivenurbanfloodadaptationandassociatedgovernancechallenges