Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation
Climate change has become one of the major threats to global security. On the impact of climate change on national vulnerability, the researchers firstly select relevant factors and data and analyze the principal components to determine the weight of climate change on vulnerability so as to analyze...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3527540 |
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| _version_ | 1849686598737723392 |
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| author | Jia-Ming Zhu Yang Chen Su Zhang |
| author_facet | Jia-Ming Zhu Yang Chen Su Zhang |
| author_sort | Jia-Ming Zhu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change has become one of the major threats to global security. On the impact of climate change on national vulnerability, the researchers firstly select relevant factors and data and analyze the principal components to determine the weight of climate change on vulnerability so as to analyze the impact of climate change on national vulnerability. Secondly, based on the influencing factors, we obtain the national vulnerability score through the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, delineate the impact scope according to the score, and predict climate change by means of regression analysis and time series analysis. Finally, according to the characteristics of cities and continents, the model is revised, a PSR model and a cluster analysis model are established, and the prediction accuracy is improved. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-c02decb4ec7a4fee80261bcc09266d63 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 1026-0226 1607-887X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| spelling | doaj-art-c02decb4ec7a4fee80261bcc09266d632025-08-20T03:22:39ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2020-01-01202010.1155/2020/35275403527540Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive EvaluationJia-Ming Zhu0Yang Chen1Su Zhang2School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaSchool of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaDepartment of Physical Education, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaClimate change has become one of the major threats to global security. On the impact of climate change on national vulnerability, the researchers firstly select relevant factors and data and analyze the principal components to determine the weight of climate change on vulnerability so as to analyze the impact of climate change on national vulnerability. Secondly, based on the influencing factors, we obtain the national vulnerability score through the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, delineate the impact scope according to the score, and predict climate change by means of regression analysis and time series analysis. Finally, according to the characteristics of cities and continents, the model is revised, a PSR model and a cluster analysis model are established, and the prediction accuracy is improved.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3527540 |
| spellingShingle | Jia-Ming Zhu Yang Chen Su Zhang Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society |
| title | Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation |
| title_full | Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation |
| title_short | Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on National Vulnerability Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation |
| title_sort | analysis of the impact of climate change on national vulnerability based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3527540 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jiamingzhu analysisoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalvulnerabilitybasedonfuzzycomprehensiveevaluation AT yangchen analysisoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalvulnerabilitybasedonfuzzycomprehensiveevaluation AT suzhang analysisoftheimpactofclimatechangeonnationalvulnerabilitybasedonfuzzycomprehensiveevaluation |