Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis

Traffic congestion is a serious problem in many cities, resulting in lost time, increased air pollution, and reduced quality of life. In the past few years, time series models have been widely used to predict traffic flows and congestion. This study analyzes traffic data collected over several years...

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Main Authors: V. V. Lutsenko, N. N. Kucherov, A. V. Gladkov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: North-Caucasus Federal University 2023-09-01
Series:Современная наука и инновации
Subjects:
Online Access:https://msi.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1478
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author V. V. Lutsenko
N. N. Kucherov
A. V. Gladkov
author_facet V. V. Lutsenko
N. N. Kucherov
A. V. Gladkov
author_sort V. V. Lutsenko
collection DOAJ
description Traffic congestion is a serious problem in many cities, resulting in lost time, increased air pollution, and reduced quality of life. In the past few years, time series models have been widely used to predict traffic flows and congestion. This study analyzes traffic data collected over several years and develops a predictive model based on time series analysis techniques. The model takes into account various factors that contribute to congestion, such as time of day, day of the week, and junction. The results show that the model effectively predicts traffic congestion with a high degree of accuracy, which can be used to make rational decisions and reduce urban traffic congestion.
format Article
id doaj-art-bfeb08c81d4d45d4ad4a290ec23bfc76
institution Kabale University
issn 2307-910X
language Russian
publishDate 2023-09-01
publisher North-Caucasus Federal University
record_format Article
series Современная наука и инновации
spelling doaj-art-bfeb08c81d4d45d4ad4a290ec23bfc762025-08-20T03:42:21ZrusNorth-Caucasus Federal UniversityСовременная наука и инновации2307-910X2023-09-0102505810.37493/2307-910X.2023.2.51464Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysisV. V. Lutsenko0N. N. Kucherov1A. V. Gladkov2North-Caucasus Federal UniversityNorth-Caucasus Federal UniversityNorth-Caucasus Federal UniversityTraffic congestion is a serious problem in many cities, resulting in lost time, increased air pollution, and reduced quality of life. In the past few years, time series models have been widely used to predict traffic flows and congestion. This study analyzes traffic data collected over several years and develops a predictive model based on time series analysis techniques. The model takes into account various factors that contribute to congestion, such as time of day, day of the week, and junction. The results show that the model effectively predicts traffic congestion with a high degree of accuracy, which can be used to make rational decisions and reduce urban traffic congestion.https://msi.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1478traffic forecastingholt-winter methodarima modelintelligent transportation systemtime series forecasting
spellingShingle V. V. Lutsenko
N. N. Kucherov
A. V. Gladkov
Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
Современная наука и инновации
traffic forecasting
holt-winter method
arima model
intelligent transportation system
time series forecasting
title Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
title_full Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
title_fullStr Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
title_full_unstemmed Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
title_short Predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
title_sort predicting traffic congestion based on time series analysis
topic traffic forecasting
holt-winter method
arima model
intelligent transportation system
time series forecasting
url https://msi.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/1478
work_keys_str_mv AT vvlutsenko predictingtrafficcongestionbasedontimeseriesanalysis
AT nnkucherov predictingtrafficcongestionbasedontimeseriesanalysis
AT avgladkov predictingtrafficcongestionbasedontimeseriesanalysis