Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China

Meiyu is a critical component of the summer rainy season over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin (YHRB) in China, and the Meiyu onset date (MOD), serving as a key indicator of Meiyu, has garnered substantial attention. This article demonstrates an in-phase relationship between MOD and the preceding spri...

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Main Authors: Ziyi Song, Xuejie Zhao, Yuepeng Hu, Fang Zhou, Jiahao Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/7/838
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author Ziyi Song
Xuejie Zhao
Yuepeng Hu
Fang Zhou
Jiahao Lu
author_facet Ziyi Song
Xuejie Zhao
Yuepeng Hu
Fang Zhou
Jiahao Lu
author_sort Ziyi Song
collection DOAJ
description Meiyu is a critical component of the summer rainy season over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin (YHRB) in China, and the Meiyu onset date (MOD), serving as a key indicator of Meiyu, has garnered substantial attention. This article demonstrates an in-phase relationship between MOD and the preceding spring Barents–Kara Seas ice concentration (BKSIC) during 1979–2023. Specifically, the loss of spring BKSIC promotes an earlier MOD. Further analysis indicates that decreased spring BKSIC reduces the reflection of shortwave radiation, thereby enhancing oceanic solar radiation absorption and warming sea surface temperature (SST) in spring. The warming SST persists into summer and induces significant deep warming in the BKS through enhanced upward longwave radiation. The BKS deep warming triggers a wave train propagating southeastward to the East Asia–Northwest Pacific region, leading to a strengthened East Asian Subtropical Jet and an intensified Western North Pacific Subtropical High in summer. Under these conditions, the transport of warm and humid airflows into the YHRB is enhanced, promoting convective instability through increased low-level warming and humidity, combined with enhanced wind shear, which jointly contribute to an earlier MOD. These results may advance the understanding of MOD variability and provide valuable information for disaster prevention and mitigation.
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spelling doaj-art-bf889aaf8114420c9fd7be40bc4af7d32025-08-20T03:13:39ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332025-07-0116783810.3390/atmos16070838Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in ChinaZiyi Song0Xuejie Zhao1Yuepeng Hu2Fang Zhou3Jiahao Lu4Department of Mathematics and Physics, Suzhou Vocational University, Suzhou 215104, ChinaDepartment of Mathematics and Physics, Suzhou Vocational University, Suzhou 215104, ChinaZhejiang Meteorological Observatory, Hangzhou 310002, ChinaKey Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster (KLME), Ministry of Education & Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaSuzhou Meteorological Bureau, Suzhou 215131, ChinaMeiyu is a critical component of the summer rainy season over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin (YHRB) in China, and the Meiyu onset date (MOD), serving as a key indicator of Meiyu, has garnered substantial attention. This article demonstrates an in-phase relationship between MOD and the preceding spring Barents–Kara Seas ice concentration (BKSIC) during 1979–2023. Specifically, the loss of spring BKSIC promotes an earlier MOD. Further analysis indicates that decreased spring BKSIC reduces the reflection of shortwave radiation, thereby enhancing oceanic solar radiation absorption and warming sea surface temperature (SST) in spring. The warming SST persists into summer and induces significant deep warming in the BKS through enhanced upward longwave radiation. The BKS deep warming triggers a wave train propagating southeastward to the East Asia–Northwest Pacific region, leading to a strengthened East Asian Subtropical Jet and an intensified Western North Pacific Subtropical High in summer. Under these conditions, the transport of warm and humid airflows into the YHRB is enhanced, promoting convective instability through increased low-level warming and humidity, combined with enhanced wind shear, which jointly contribute to an earlier MOD. These results may advance the understanding of MOD variability and provide valuable information for disaster prevention and mitigation.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/7/838Barents–Kara Seassea iceMeiyuYangtze–Huaihe River Basin
spellingShingle Ziyi Song
Xuejie Zhao
Yuepeng Hu
Fang Zhou
Jiahao Lu
Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
Atmosphere
Barents–Kara Seas
sea ice
Meiyu
Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin
title Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
title_full Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
title_fullStr Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
title_full_unstemmed Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
title_short Modulation of Spring Barents and Kara Seas Ice Concentration on the Meiyu Onset over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin in China
title_sort modulation of spring barents and kara seas ice concentration on the meiyu onset over the yangtze huaihe river basin in china
topic Barents–Kara Seas
sea ice
Meiyu
Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/7/838
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