Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania

This paper aims to investigate some of the determinants of non-performing loans in the Romanian banking sector by means of Vector Error Correction (VEC). The increase in non-performing loans is the most relevant factor that financial institutions face in order to maintain an adequate level of solven...

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Main Authors: Adriana Daniela CIUREL, Tiberiu STOICA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editura ASE 2019-05-01
Series:Revista de Management Comparat International
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.rmci.ase.ro/no20vol2/05.pdf
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author Adriana Daniela CIUREL
Tiberiu STOICA
author_facet Adriana Daniela CIUREL
Tiberiu STOICA
author_sort Adriana Daniela CIUREL
collection DOAJ
description This paper aims to investigate some of the determinants of non-performing loans in the Romanian banking sector by means of Vector Error Correction (VEC). The increase in non-performing loans is the most relevant factor that financial institutions face in order to maintain an adequate level of solvency in the context of current economic decline. The objectives of the study presented in this document are to estimate and understand the historical relationships between various macroeconomic factors and the evolution of non-performing loans, in order to facilitate the prediction of future non-performing loans based on macroeconomic forecasts. The conclusions obtained should be taken as guidelines and be the starting point for a reflection that helps to define next steps in the methodological development of planning models as well as in other aspects detailed in the diversification sections and credit management policies. This paper presents in the first place an executive summary of the main conclusions of the study, as well as a reference to the origin of the data used and the methodology applied. In the development of the model, we use public data from the National Bank of Romania, World Bank and the National Institute of
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spelling doaj-art-beeb80ae454041698f57d7443fa0c6352025-08-20T02:38:36ZengEditura ASERevista de Management Comparat International1582-34582601-09682019-05-0120215517010.24818/RMCI.2019.2.155Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania Adriana Daniela CIUREL0Tiberiu STOICA1Bucharest Academy of Economic StudiesBucharest Academy of Economic StudiesThis paper aims to investigate some of the determinants of non-performing loans in the Romanian banking sector by means of Vector Error Correction (VEC). The increase in non-performing loans is the most relevant factor that financial institutions face in order to maintain an adequate level of solvency in the context of current economic decline. The objectives of the study presented in this document are to estimate and understand the historical relationships between various macroeconomic factors and the evolution of non-performing loans, in order to facilitate the prediction of future non-performing loans based on macroeconomic forecasts. The conclusions obtained should be taken as guidelines and be the starting point for a reflection that helps to define next steps in the methodological development of planning models as well as in other aspects detailed in the diversification sections and credit management policies. This paper presents in the first place an executive summary of the main conclusions of the study, as well as a reference to the origin of the data used and the methodology applied. In the development of the model, we use public data from the National Bank of Romania, World Bank and the National Institute of https://www.rmci.ase.ro/no20vol2/05.pdfcointegrationvecnon-performing loansinterest ratecredit risk
spellingShingle Adriana Daniela CIUREL
Tiberiu STOICA
Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
Revista de Management Comparat International
cointegration
vec
non-performing loans
interest rate
credit risk
title Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
title_full Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
title_fullStr Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
title_full_unstemmed Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
title_short Determining Impacts on Non-Performing Loan Ratio in Romania
title_sort determining impacts on non performing loan ratio in romania
topic cointegration
vec
non-performing loans
interest rate
credit risk
url https://www.rmci.ase.ro/no20vol2/05.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT adrianadanielaciurel determiningimpactsonnonperformingloanratioinromania
AT tiberiustoica determiningimpactsonnonperformingloanratioinromania