Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions

Reducing carbon emissions is essential for achieving the “dual carbon” targets. This study investigates the impact of Urban Land Use Green Transition (ULUGT) on Urban Carbon Emissions (UCE) and explores the underlying mediation mechanisms. Utilizing panel data from 107 cities in the Yangtze River Ec...

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Main Authors: Kun Ge, Ying Wang, Xiaoyuan Liu, Longji Hu, Shangan Ke, Xu Jiang, Wenjuan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25001906
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author Kun Ge
Ying Wang
Xiaoyuan Liu
Longji Hu
Shangan Ke
Xu Jiang
Wenjuan Zhang
author_facet Kun Ge
Ying Wang
Xiaoyuan Liu
Longji Hu
Shangan Ke
Xu Jiang
Wenjuan Zhang
author_sort Kun Ge
collection DOAJ
description Reducing carbon emissions is essential for achieving the “dual carbon” targets. This study investigates the impact of Urban Land Use Green Transition (ULUGT) on Urban Carbon Emissions (UCE) and explores the underlying mediation mechanisms. Utilizing panel data from 107 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) covering the period 2003–2021, we apply the Spatial Durbin Model and Mediation Effect Model to analyze the direct effects, spatial spillover effects, and mediation mechanisms of ULUGT on UCE. Our findings reveal that: (1) UCE in the YREB increased from 13.32 to 28.94 million tons, with an annual growth rate of 4.17 % between 2003 and 2021. Although UCE overall increased, significant spatial imbalances were observed, although these disparities have diminished over time. (2) ULUGT significantly reduces local UCE but generates positive spatial spillover effects on UCE in neighboring cities. (3) The impact of ULUGT on UCE varies according to resource endowment and geographic location. (4) Environmental regulations, industrial agglomeration, and green technological innovations act as mediation mechanisms, partially mediating the effect of ULUGT on UCE. This study highlights the need for enhanced regional cooperation, timely implementation of green technological innovations, and coordinated interventions to effectively mitigate UCE.
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publishDate 2025-03-01
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series Ecological Indicators
spelling doaj-art-beb79b1d370e4a87a121a0932064015a2025-08-20T03:42:44ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2025-03-0117211326110.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113261Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissionsKun Ge0Ying Wang1Xiaoyuan Liu2Longji Hu3Shangan Ke4Xu Jiang5Wenjuan Zhang6Department of Engineering Management and Real Estate, College of City Construction, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaDepartment of Engineering Management and Real Estate, College of City Construction, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaDepartment of Environmental Design, College of Fine Arts, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, China; Corresponding authors.Faculty of Political Science, School of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, China; Corresponding authors.Department of Land Resources Management, School of Public Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, ChinaDepartment of Land Resources and Urban Development Management, School of Public Policy and Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Urban and Rural Planning, College of City Construction, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, ChinaReducing carbon emissions is essential for achieving the “dual carbon” targets. This study investigates the impact of Urban Land Use Green Transition (ULUGT) on Urban Carbon Emissions (UCE) and explores the underlying mediation mechanisms. Utilizing panel data from 107 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) covering the period 2003–2021, we apply the Spatial Durbin Model and Mediation Effect Model to analyze the direct effects, spatial spillover effects, and mediation mechanisms of ULUGT on UCE. Our findings reveal that: (1) UCE in the YREB increased from 13.32 to 28.94 million tons, with an annual growth rate of 4.17 % between 2003 and 2021. Although UCE overall increased, significant spatial imbalances were observed, although these disparities have diminished over time. (2) ULUGT significantly reduces local UCE but generates positive spatial spillover effects on UCE in neighboring cities. (3) The impact of ULUGT on UCE varies according to resource endowment and geographic location. (4) Environmental regulations, industrial agglomeration, and green technological innovations act as mediation mechanisms, partially mediating the effect of ULUGT on UCE. This study highlights the need for enhanced regional cooperation, timely implementation of green technological innovations, and coordinated interventions to effectively mitigate UCE.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25001906Urban Land Use Green TransitionUrban Carbon EmissionsSpatial EconometricsMediation Mechanisms
spellingShingle Kun Ge
Ying Wang
Xiaoyuan Liu
Longji Hu
Shangan Ke
Xu Jiang
Wenjuan Zhang
Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
Ecological Indicators
Urban Land Use Green Transition
Urban Carbon Emissions
Spatial Econometrics
Mediation Mechanisms
title Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
title_full Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
title_fullStr Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
title_full_unstemmed Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
title_short Spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
title_sort spatial effects and influence mechanisms of urban land use green transition on urban carbon emissions
topic Urban Land Use Green Transition
Urban Carbon Emissions
Spatial Econometrics
Mediation Mechanisms
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25001906
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