Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach

This study proposes a novel approach that incorporates rolling-window estimation and a quantile causality test. Using this approach, Google Trends and Bitcoin price data are used to empirically investigate the time-varying quantile causality between investor attention and Bitcoin returns. The result...

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Main Authors: Jianqin Hang, Xu Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5543995
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author Jianqin Hang
Xu Zhang
author_facet Jianqin Hang
Xu Zhang
author_sort Jianqin Hang
collection DOAJ
description This study proposes a novel approach that incorporates rolling-window estimation and a quantile causality test. Using this approach, Google Trends and Bitcoin price data are used to empirically investigate the time-varying quantile causality between investor attention and Bitcoin returns. The results show that the parameters of the causality tests are unstable during the sample period. The results also show strong evidence of quantile- and time-varying causality between investor attention and Bitcoin returns. Specifically, our results show that causality appears only in high volatility periods within the time domain, and causality presents various patterns across quantiles within the quantile domain.
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institution DOAJ
issn 1076-2787
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language English
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series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-be6b7b68733e4e588c9b62b4f2d837862025-08-20T03:23:01ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55439955543995Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles ApproachJianqin Hang0Xu Zhang1School of Economics and Management, Jiangsu Maritime Institute, Nanjing 211170, ChinaSchool of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaThis study proposes a novel approach that incorporates rolling-window estimation and a quantile causality test. Using this approach, Google Trends and Bitcoin price data are used to empirically investigate the time-varying quantile causality between investor attention and Bitcoin returns. The results show that the parameters of the causality tests are unstable during the sample period. The results also show strong evidence of quantile- and time-varying causality between investor attention and Bitcoin returns. Specifically, our results show that causality appears only in high volatility periods within the time domain, and causality presents various patterns across quantiles within the quantile domain.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5543995
spellingShingle Jianqin Hang
Xu Zhang
Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
Complexity
title Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
title_full Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
title_fullStr Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
title_full_unstemmed Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
title_short Time- and Quantile-Varying Causality between Investor Attention and Bitcoin Returns: A Rolling-Window Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
title_sort time and quantile varying causality between investor attention and bitcoin returns a rolling window causality in quantiles approach
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5543995
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AT xuzhang timeandquantilevaryingcausalitybetweeninvestorattentionandbitcoinreturnsarollingwindowcausalityinquantilesapproach