Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
Study on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the u...
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Editorial Office of Pearl River
2020-01-01
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Series: | Renmin Zhujiang |
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Online Access: | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003 |
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author | HUANG Yipeng LIU Weilin WAN Yifan WEN Hongan WU Bin LIU Lina ZHU Shengnan |
author_facet | HUANG Yipeng LIU Weilin WAN Yifan WEN Hongan WU Bin LIU Lina ZHU Shengnan |
author_sort | HUANG Yipeng |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Study on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the upper and middle reaches of Xiuhe River Basin as research area,this paper builds the SWAT localization model to simulate runoff,and conducts the quantitative analysis on the response of runoff of Xiuhe River Basin to climate change with 55 climate scenarios (temperature increases or decreases 0~2℃,precipitation increases 0~60% or decreases 0~40%,respectively) as input of SWAT model.Results show that:In calibration period,the correlation coefficient R<sup>2</sup> is 0.87,and the Nash coefficient E<sub>ns</sub> is 0.86,while,0.87 and 0.83 respectively in verification period,proving the high applicability of SWAT model in runoff simulation of Xiu River Basin;10% change of precipitation in Xiuhe River Basin has an impact on its runoff of 8.9%~10.7%;1℃ change of temperature has an impact on its runoff of only 0.3%~1.3%;precipitation is the main influencing factor of runoff change;after analyzing the climate scenario grid,when the precipitation is between -40% and +50%,the precipitation-temperature-runoff is basically linearly correlated,which can be presented by a plane function.In extreme precipitation cases,the relationship between temperature and runoff is nonlinear. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-be2c2155c07549aab65041a4361f07c8 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1001-9235 |
language | zho |
publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
publisher | Editorial Office of Pearl River |
record_format | Article |
series | Renmin Zhujiang |
spelling | doaj-art-be2c2155c07549aab65041a4361f07c82025-01-15T02:30:08ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352020-01-014147649465Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT ModelHUANG YipengLIU WeilinWAN YifanWEN HonganWU BinLIU LinaZHU ShengnanStudy on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the upper and middle reaches of Xiuhe River Basin as research area,this paper builds the SWAT localization model to simulate runoff,and conducts the quantitative analysis on the response of runoff of Xiuhe River Basin to climate change with 55 climate scenarios (temperature increases or decreases 0~2℃,precipitation increases 0~60% or decreases 0~40%,respectively) as input of SWAT model.Results show that:In calibration period,the correlation coefficient R<sup>2</sup> is 0.87,and the Nash coefficient E<sub>ns</sub> is 0.86,while,0.87 and 0.83 respectively in verification period,proving the high applicability of SWAT model in runoff simulation of Xiu River Basin;10% change of precipitation in Xiuhe River Basin has an impact on its runoff of 8.9%~10.7%;1℃ change of temperature has an impact on its runoff of only 0.3%~1.3%;precipitation is the main influencing factor of runoff change;after analyzing the climate scenario grid,when the precipitation is between -40% and +50%,the precipitation-temperature-runoff is basically linearly correlated,which can be presented by a plane function.In extreme precipitation cases,the relationship between temperature and runoff is nonlinear.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003SWAT modelrunoff simulationXiuhe River Basinclimate changeXiuhe River |
spellingShingle | HUANG Yipeng LIU Weilin WAN Yifan WEN Hongan WU Bin LIU Lina ZHU Shengnan Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model Renmin Zhujiang SWAT model runoff simulation Xiuhe River Basin climate change Xiuhe River |
title | Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model |
title_full | Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model |
title_fullStr | Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model |
title_full_unstemmed | Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model |
title_short | Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model |
title_sort | study on runoff and climate change response of upper and middle reaches of xiuhe river basin based on swat model |
topic | SWAT model runoff simulation Xiuhe River Basin climate change Xiuhe River |
url | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003 |
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