Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model

Study on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the u...

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Main Authors: HUANG Yipeng, LIU Weilin, WAN Yifan, WEN Hongan, WU Bin, LIU Lina, ZHU Shengnan
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2020-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003
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author HUANG Yipeng
LIU Weilin
WAN Yifan
WEN Hongan
WU Bin
LIU Lina
ZHU Shengnan
author_facet HUANG Yipeng
LIU Weilin
WAN Yifan
WEN Hongan
WU Bin
LIU Lina
ZHU Shengnan
author_sort HUANG Yipeng
collection DOAJ
description Study on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the upper and middle reaches of Xiuhe River Basin as research area,this paper builds the SWAT localization model to simulate runoff,and conducts the quantitative analysis on the response of runoff of Xiuhe River Basin to climate change with 55 climate scenarios (temperature increases or decreases 0~2℃,precipitation increases 0~60% or decreases 0~40%,respectively) as input of SWAT model.Results show that:In calibration period,the correlation coefficient R<sup>2</sup> is 0.87,and the Nash coefficient E<sub>ns</sub> is 0.86,while,0.87 and 0.83 respectively in verification period,proving the high applicability of SWAT model in runoff simulation of Xiu River Basin;10% change of precipitation in Xiuhe River Basin has an impact on its runoff of 8.9%~10.7%;1℃ change of temperature has an impact on its runoff of only 0.3%~1.3%;precipitation is the main influencing factor of runoff change;after analyzing the climate scenario grid,when the precipitation is between -40% and +50%,the precipitation-temperature-runoff is basically linearly correlated,which can be presented by a plane function.In extreme precipitation cases,the relationship between temperature and runoff is nonlinear.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
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series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-be2c2155c07549aab65041a4361f07c82025-01-15T02:30:08ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352020-01-014147649465Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT ModelHUANG YipengLIU WeilinWAN YifanWEN HonganWU BinLIU LinaZHU ShengnanStudy on distributed hydrological simulation,model parameter sensitivity analysis and response of climate change to runoff are of important practical significance and scientific value for control of flood and drought disasters and distribution of water resources in the Xiuhe River Basin.Taking the upper and middle reaches of Xiuhe River Basin as research area,this paper builds the SWAT localization model to simulate runoff,and conducts the quantitative analysis on the response of runoff of Xiuhe River Basin to climate change with 55 climate scenarios (temperature increases or decreases 0~2℃,precipitation increases 0~60% or decreases 0~40%,respectively) as input of SWAT model.Results show that:In calibration period,the correlation coefficient R<sup>2</sup> is 0.87,and the Nash coefficient E<sub>ns</sub> is 0.86,while,0.87 and 0.83 respectively in verification period,proving the high applicability of SWAT model in runoff simulation of Xiu River Basin;10% change of precipitation in Xiuhe River Basin has an impact on its runoff of 8.9%~10.7%;1℃ change of temperature has an impact on its runoff of only 0.3%~1.3%;precipitation is the main influencing factor of runoff change;after analyzing the climate scenario grid,when the precipitation is between -40% and +50%,the precipitation-temperature-runoff is basically linearly correlated,which can be presented by a plane function.In extreme precipitation cases,the relationship between temperature and runoff is nonlinear.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003SWAT modelrunoff simulationXiuhe River Basinclimate changeXiuhe River
spellingShingle HUANG Yipeng
LIU Weilin
WAN Yifan
WEN Hongan
WU Bin
LIU Lina
ZHU Shengnan
Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
Renmin Zhujiang
SWAT model
runoff simulation
Xiuhe River Basin
climate change
Xiuhe River
title Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
title_full Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
title_fullStr Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
title_full_unstemmed Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
title_short Study on Runoff and Climate Change Response of Upper and Middle Reaches of Xiuhe River Basin Based on SWAT Model
title_sort study on runoff and climate change response of upper and middle reaches of xiuhe river basin based on swat model
topic SWAT model
runoff simulation
Xiuhe River Basin
climate change
Xiuhe River
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.11.003
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AT wanyifan studyonrunoffandclimatechangeresponseofupperandmiddlereachesofxiuheriverbasinbasedonswatmodel
AT wenhongan studyonrunoffandclimatechangeresponseofupperandmiddlereachesofxiuheriverbasinbasedonswatmodel
AT wubin studyonrunoffandclimatechangeresponseofupperandmiddlereachesofxiuheriverbasinbasedonswatmodel
AT liulina studyonrunoffandclimatechangeresponseofupperandmiddlereachesofxiuheriverbasinbasedonswatmodel
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