The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas

ABSTRACT Population aging presents a major challenge to China's economic and social development. While some research has addressed the relationship between population aging and energy consumption or generalized carbon emissions, its impact on living carbon emissions has been less explored. This...

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Main Authors: Mei Song, Jia Zhang, Mengxue Li, Yujin Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-12-01
Series:Energy Science & Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1972
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author Mei Song
Jia Zhang
Mengxue Li
Yujin Gao
author_facet Mei Song
Jia Zhang
Mengxue Li
Yujin Gao
author_sort Mei Song
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Population aging presents a major challenge to China's economic and social development. While some research has addressed the relationship between population aging and energy consumption or generalized carbon emissions, its impact on living carbon emissions has been less explored. This study uses provincial panel data from the Yellow River Basin (2006–2020) and employs a threshold regression model to analyze the relationship between population aging and living carbon emissions. A Multiple Mediation Effect Model is also applied to explore the mechanisms behind this relationship, with a comparative analysis between urban and rural areas. The results indicate a U‐shaped nonlinear effect of population aging on living carbon emissions, which are initially inhibited and then promoted, with different “turning points” for rural and urban regions. As income levels rise, population aging has a marginally increasing effect on living carbon emissions. However, upgrading the consumption expenditure structure, expanding family size, and increasing clean energy consumption can help mitigate the promoting effect of aging on emissions. The mediation model identifies four pathways through which population aging influences living carbon emissions, with income level and consumption expenditure structure playing key roles. This study offers policy insights for addressing urban‐rural disparities and fostering sustainable regional development.
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spelling doaj-art-bcf8571942e548758d2725c5b0c2dde62025-08-20T01:58:07ZengWileyEnergy Science & Engineering2050-05052024-12-0112125630564610.1002/ese3.1972The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural AreasMei Song0Jia Zhang1Mengxue Li2Yujin Gao3School of Management China University of Mining and Technology‐Beijing Beijing ChinaSchool of Management China University of Mining and Technology‐Beijing Beijing ChinaChina Mobile Communications Beijing Co. Ltd. Beijing ChinaSchool of Management China University of Mining and Technology‐Beijing Beijing ChinaABSTRACT Population aging presents a major challenge to China's economic and social development. While some research has addressed the relationship between population aging and energy consumption or generalized carbon emissions, its impact on living carbon emissions has been less explored. This study uses provincial panel data from the Yellow River Basin (2006–2020) and employs a threshold regression model to analyze the relationship between population aging and living carbon emissions. A Multiple Mediation Effect Model is also applied to explore the mechanisms behind this relationship, with a comparative analysis between urban and rural areas. The results indicate a U‐shaped nonlinear effect of population aging on living carbon emissions, which are initially inhibited and then promoted, with different “turning points” for rural and urban regions. As income levels rise, population aging has a marginally increasing effect on living carbon emissions. However, upgrading the consumption expenditure structure, expanding family size, and increasing clean energy consumption can help mitigate the promoting effect of aging on emissions. The mediation model identifies four pathways through which population aging influences living carbon emissions, with income level and consumption expenditure structure playing key roles. This study offers policy insights for addressing urban‐rural disparities and fostering sustainable regional development.https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1972living carbon emissionsmechanism analysispopulation agingrural energy transformationthe Yellow River Basinthreshold effect
spellingShingle Mei Song
Jia Zhang
Mengxue Li
Yujin Gao
The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
Energy Science & Engineering
living carbon emissions
mechanism analysis
population aging
rural energy transformation
the Yellow River Basin
threshold effect
title The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
title_full The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
title_fullStr The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
title_full_unstemmed The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
title_short The Influence of Population Aging on Living Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Comparisons Between Urban and Rural Areas
title_sort influence of population aging on living carbon emissions in the yellow river basin comparisons between urban and rural areas
topic living carbon emissions
mechanism analysis
population aging
rural energy transformation
the Yellow River Basin
threshold effect
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ese3.1972
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